{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32aeb104-b774-4dfe-b32a-cb9a42a6201c", "symbol": "CRGO", "name": "Freightos Limited Ordinary shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.483, "architecture_energy": 53.431, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.732, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.87, "rotation_up": 17.05, "upward_expansion": 8.4, "deceleration": 47.74, "rotation_down": 65.08, "downward_expansion": 84.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.232, 1.287091, 1.50869, 1.586753 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.27, "trend_reference": 1.728667, "distance_from_trend": -0.26533, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.424485, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.476177, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.175685, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.380488, "excess_performance": -0.567941, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.26533, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231191, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.476177, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.281446, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.531757, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194477, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.380488, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.257423, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 269950, "relative_activity": 0.706331, "balance": 0.257423, "dry_up": 0.642952, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201078, "annualized_volatility": 0.989298, "from_high_reference": -0.700472, "from_low_reference": 0.114035 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.728667, "fair_value_reference": 2.424485, "structural_low": 1.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.025496, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.007304, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.756219, "worst_return": -0.377358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.183819, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.068747, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.962963, "worst_return": -0.410256, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.008511, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.09928, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.542289, "worst_return": -0.457547, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.273128, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.019355, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.063123, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", 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1.718333, 1.782495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.25, "volume": 215230, "typical_volume": 583775.05, "trend": 1.875667, "fair_value": 2.47269, "relative_strength": -56.983989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.204559, "energy": 78.59236, "activity_lines": [ 1.348667, 1.528091, 1.673667, 1.738237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.25, "volume": 386789, "typical_volume": 518776.8, "trend": 1.836333, "fair_value": 2.457498, "relative_strength": -54.568983, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.423404, "energy": 79.568397, "activity_lines": [ 1.296, 1.448364, 1.633619, 1.697871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.26, "volume": 203699, "typical_volume": 498734.7, "trend": 1.801, "fair_value": 2.445254, "relative_strength": -52.66321, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.303067, "energy": 72.928894, "activity_lines": [ 1.269333, 1.385, 1.594857, 1.660688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.15, "volume": 122472, "typical_volume": 457151.9, "trend": 1.765, "fair_value": 2.434934, "relative_strength": -56.260989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.932205, "energy": 70.184457, "activity_lines": [ 1.222, 1.317091, 1.54581, 1.618688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.27, "volume": 269950, "typical_volume": 382186.45, "trend": 1.728667, "fair_value": 2.424485, "relative_strength": -53.175685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.483397, "energy": 53.43132, "activity_lines": [ 1.232, 1.287091, 1.50869, 1.586753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }