{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32af4b52-59f4-45e7-bca7-653eb77769fe", "symbol": "600790", "name": "Zhejiang China Light&Textile Industrial City Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.244, "architecture_energy": 61.127, "architecture_maturity": 22.629, "architecture_confidence": 95.016, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.96, "rotation_up": 18.08, "upward_expansion": 11.91, "deceleration": 44.33, "rotation_down": 62.26, "downward_expansion": 85.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.216, 3.260556, 3.544632, 3.655021 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.28, "trend_reference": 3.782574, "distance_from_trend": -0.132866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.645346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.100222, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.841991, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.161125, "excess_performance": -0.117921, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132866, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042063, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.100222, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.440698, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.13842, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.303818, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.161125, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.16768, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70136068, "relative_activity": 0.86122, "balance": 0.16768, "dry_up": 0.925097, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082797, "annualized_volatility": 0.403549, "from_high_reference": -0.346614, "from_low_reference": 0.07541 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.782574, "fair_value_reference": 3.645346, "structural_low": 3.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.009014, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.018358, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.138211, "worst_return": -0.157107, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.005155, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.004897, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.212329, "worst_return": -0.119171, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.088957, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.042184, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.177483, "worst_return": -0.161941, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-14.39086, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.722461, "energy": 79.93247, "activity_lines": [ 3.241109, 3.445858, 3.702259, 3.775111 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.07, "volume": 70287436, "typical_volume": 80620990.5, "trend": 3.820907, "fair_value": 3.654397, "relative_strength": -17.450779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.041698, "energy": 76.581874, "activity_lines": [ 3.173062, 3.338091, 3.633367, 3.724815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.26, "volume": 65102565, "typical_volume": 81263295.9, "trend": 3.800907, "fair_value": 3.650018, "relative_strength": -12.368871, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.727867, "energy": 62.070356, "activity_lines": [ 3.19338, 3.288687, 3.586523, 3.688628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.28, "volume": 70136068, "typical_volume": 81437998.9, "trend": 3.782574, "fair_value": 3.645346, "relative_strength": -13.841991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.24386, "energy": 61.127218, "activity_lines": [ 3.216, 3.260556, 3.544632, 3.655021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }