{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "32b13899-9d14-4146-9204-2dce9bcbc430",
    "symbol": "EBA",
    "name": "eBay Inc.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.784,
    "architecture_energy": 41.579,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.577,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.591,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.52,
        "rotation_up": 43.98,
        "upward_expansion": 75.45,
        "deceleration": 88.22,
        "rotation_down": 28.66,
        "downward_expansion": 11.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        98.036,
        97.736545,
        95.86903,
        92.164858
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 99.040001,
    "trend_reference": 87.23108,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.135375,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 61.457684,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.611515,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.526291,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.343864,
    "excess_performance": 0.279224,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135375,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106151,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.611515,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02136,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115263,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075788,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.343864,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.107936,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3924,
      "relative_activity": 2.600311,
      "balance": 3.107936,
      "dry_up": 1.043537,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048867,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.307683,
      "from_high_reference": -0.037512,
      "from_low_reference": 0.494233
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 87.23108,
      "fair_value_reference": 61.457684,
      "structural_low": 66.281486,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.014914,
        "positive_rate": 0.62963,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62963,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012484,
        "regime_survival": 0.851852,
        "best_return": 0.205335,
        "worst_return": -0.111064,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.078353,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037637,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.261583,
        "worst_return": -0.201063,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.047473,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015435,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.203435,
        "worst_return": 0.003103,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.278034,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003522,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.402646,
        "worst_return": -0.260179,
        "sufficient": false
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        "return": 0.026085,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.068781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 18.192363,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 1513.05,
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        "relative_strength": 22.935268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 63.513953,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 96.470001,
        "volume": 667,
        "typical_volume": 1494.9,
        "trend": 84.878534,
        "fair_value": 60.3111,
        "relative_strength": 16.488993,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.807195,
        "energy": 55.819533,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.400667,
          97.269863,
          93.859443,
          89.843306
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 95.839996,
        "volume": 931,
        "typical_volume": 1478.75,
        "trend": 85.708275,
        "fair_value": 60.675971,
        "relative_strength": 13.869385,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.239029,
        "energy": 51.142799,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.777999,
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          94.43651,
          90.550497
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 98.2,
        "volume": 777,
        "typical_volume": 1446.55,
        "trend": 86.509125,
        "fair_value": 61.067522,
        "relative_strength": 13.891712,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.324828,
        "energy": 45.367662,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.868666,
          97.285273,
          95.158008,
          91.356415
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 99.040001,
        "volume": 3924,
        "typical_volume": 1509.05,
        "trend": 87.23108,
        "fair_value": 61.457684,
        "relative_strength": 11.526291,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.784291,
        "energy": 41.579104,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.036,
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          95.86903,
          92.164858
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}