{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32cef7da-3c22-489b-8acf-59fc65c24da6", "symbol": "3062", "name": "CyberTAN Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.328, "architecture_energy": 80.383, "architecture_maturity": 17.307, "architecture_confidence": 84.172, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.02, "rotation_up": 9.82, "upward_expansion": 19.47, "deceleration": 37.18, "rotation_down": 76.66, "downward_expansion": 95.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.573332, 21.694545, 23.943095, 24.837204 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 21.299999, "trend_reference": 25.55, "distance_from_trend": -0.166341, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.921154, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.178277, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.534855, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114345, "excess_performance": -0.555717, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166341, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015857, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.178277, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245452, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.395349, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129276, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114345, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.142428, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6607574, "relative_activity": 0.143527, "balance": 1.142428, "dry_up": 0.190969, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110148, "annualized_volatility": 0.527236, "from_high_reference": -0.375367, "from_low_reference": 0.173554 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.55, "fair_value_reference": 25.921154, "structural_low": 18.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.063199, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.008222, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.677034, "worst_return": -0.311755, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.036899, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.019962, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.80663, "worst_return": -0.187394, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.014709, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.05761, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.66005, "worst_return": -0.204429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"typical_volume": 48518588.2, "trend": 25.865, "fair_value": 25.932372, "relative_strength": -41.130116, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.917712, "energy": 70.565962, "activity_lines": [ 22.36, 23.99, 25.613809, 25.88871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.299999, "volume": 12305377, "typical_volume": 48468145.75, "trend": 25.718333, "fair_value": 25.922115, "relative_strength": -43.751419, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.001011, "energy": 85.403405, "activity_lines": [ 21.119999, 22.858182, 24.943333, 25.465161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.299999, "volume": 8243299, "typical_volume": 48239661.45, "trend": 25.615, "fair_value": 25.919872, "relative_strength": -41.300144, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.474705, "energy": 83.978074, "activity_lines": [ 20.526666, 22.090909, 24.387381, 25.115591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.299999, "volume": 6607574, "typical_volume": 46037030.0, "trend": 25.55, "fair_value": 25.921154, "relative_strength": -39.534855, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.328107, "energy": 80.382526, "activity_lines": [ 20.573332, 21.694545, 23.943095, 24.837204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }