{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "32e92630-2937-42ee-9e89-6823af38fe59",
    "symbol": "WTEC",
    "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI World Technology UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.945,
    "architecture_energy": 45.843,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.585,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.226,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.3,
        "rotation_up": 40.55,
        "upward_expansion": 66.52,
        "deceleration": 94.22,
        "rotation_down": 29.28,
        "downward_expansion": 15.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        262.003333,
        261.560907,
        258.325333,
        248.624129
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 274.549988,
    "trend_reference": 236.884,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.159006,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 181.245962,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.514792,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.859649,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.295658,
    "excess_performance": 0.212775,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159006,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064804,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.514792,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023075,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088596,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074523,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.295658,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.514612,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5165,
      "relative_activity": 2.899324,
      "balance": 1.514612,
      "dry_up": 1.710685,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038763,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.24567,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.419156
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 236.884,
      "fair_value_reference": 181.245962,
      "structural_low": 193.460007,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.013804,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017166,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.122952,
        "worst_return": -0.121772,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.082623,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00738,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.152008,
        "worst_return": -0.176582,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.210636,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.136618,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.278285,
        "worst_return": -0.034604,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.205002,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.211692,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.449458,
        "worst_return": -0.244862,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.104874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.110876,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.182734,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.042857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009477,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005427,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.026667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.076209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.095403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065386,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 4610.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 236.050003,
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        "typical_volume": 3366.0,
        "trend": 217.272335,
        "fair_value": 168.398527,
        "relative_strength": 9.092309,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 16.311943,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 3403.15,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 228.885667,
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        "relative_strength": 5.480827,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.273937,
        "energy": 63.809635,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 2036.95,
        "trend": 230.117333,
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        "relative_strength": 5.238896,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 53.22227,
        "energy": 56.172034,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 265.0,
        "volume": 710,
        "typical_volume": 1824.8,
        "trend": 231.640667,
        "fair_value": 177.698334,
        "relative_strength": 7.888302,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.536148,
        "energy": 56.028533,
        "activity_lines": [
          262.753327,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 255.0,
        "volume": 2893,
        "typical_volume": 1929.0,
        "trend": 232.857333,
        "fair_value": 178.538719,
        "relative_strength": 2.90145,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.149329,
        "energy": 43.056277,
        "activity_lines": [
          260.126662,
          262.045451,
          253.084904,
          243.297699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 257.700012,
        "volume": 444,
        "typical_volume": 1893.9,
        "trend": 234.060667,
        "fair_value": 179.395129,
        "relative_strength": 3.970451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.12124,
        "energy": 39.833303,
        "activity_lines": [
          258.860002,
          261.137272,
          254.686238,
          244.900452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 252.300003,
        "volume": 3688,
        "typical_volume": 2016.8,
        "trend": 235.072334,
        "fair_value": 180.237309,
        "relative_strength": 1.613457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.20263,
        "energy": 29.261563,
        "activity_lines": [
          256.573337,
          259.255454,
          255.552096,
          246.077183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 274.549988,
        "volume": 5165,
        "typical_volume": 1781.45,
        "trend": 236.884,
        "fair_value": 181.245962,
        "relative_strength": 8.859649,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.945395,
        "energy": 45.8433,
        "activity_lines": [
          262.003333,
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          248.624129
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}