{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32f78e56-f8a5-437f-bf6e-39640ee646e7", "symbol": "5AI", "name": "H2G Green Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.821, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.175, "architecture_energy": 50.684, "architecture_maturity": 10.713, "architecture_confidence": 76.654, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.26, "rotation_up": 14.59, "upward_expansion": 24.95, "deceleration": 50.46, "rotation_down": 68.8, "downward_expansion": 54.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.009267, 0.01, 0.010843, 0.010561 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.009, "trend_reference": 0.0101, "distance_from_trend": -0.108911, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.010776, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.164783, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.619031, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.125, "excess_performance": -0.029835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.108911, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016779, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.164783, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210009, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.28619, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.414667, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.125, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.473786, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5180000, "relative_activity": 0.193051, "balance": 1.473786, "dry_up": 0.255157, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.188034, "annualized_volatility": 0.800289, "from_high_reference": -0.470588, "from_low_reference": 0.285714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0101, "fair_value_reference": 0.010776, "structural_low": 0.007, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.012553, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.308333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.365853, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.2, "worst_return": -0.416667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.108333, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.189209, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.416667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.083333, "positive_rate": 0.0, 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"tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.181818, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.018, "volume": 2455300, "typical_volume": 2238895.0, "trend": 0.020333, "fair_value": 0.026141, "relative_strength": -11.666508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.165014, "energy": 34.460784, "activity_lines": [ 0.018333, 0.018655, 0.019452, 0.019839 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", 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"gate": "up", "direction": 15.933262, "energy": 15.098292, "activity_lines": [ 0.011133, 0.011673, 0.0114, 0.010802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.009, "volume": 14649500, "typical_volume": 26707750.0, "trend": 0.0102, "fair_value": 0.010955, "relative_strength": -28.102581, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -8.274832, "energy": 18.582859, "activity_lines": [ 0.010333, 0.011109, 0.011243, 0.010723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.01, "volume": 6230400, "typical_volume": 26831260.0, "trend": 0.010167, "fair_value": 0.010897, "relative_strength": -20.710436, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.764609, "energy": 23.148122, "activity_lines": [ 0.010067, 0.010782, 0.011181, 0.01071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.009, "volume": 1325900, "typical_volume": 26666880.0, "trend": 0.010133, "fair_value": 0.010833, "relative_strength": -28.509439, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.366602, "energy": 40.813031, "activity_lines": [ 0.0096, 0.010345, 0.011014, 0.010634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.009, "volume": 5180000, "typical_volume": 26832265.0, "trend": 0.0101, "fair_value": 0.010776, "relative_strength": -28.619031, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.174733, "energy": 50.684203, "activity_lines": [ 0.009267, 0.01, 0.010843, 0.010561 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }