{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "32fca812-5dc8-4068-ae3e-7a9f35eb82a8",
    "symbol": "EX09",
    "name": "iShares VII Public Limited Company - iShares FTSE MIB UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.647,
    "architecture_energy": 67.842,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.2,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.96,
        "rotation_up": 57.01,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.33,
        "rotation_down": 28.63,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        261.980001,
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        246.641075
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 267.850006,
    "trend_reference": 237.553334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.127536,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 178.421603,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.50122,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.385287,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.20193,
    "excess_performance": 0.027683,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127536,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069338,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.50122,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064158,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023853,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000623,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20193,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": null,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": null,
      "balance": null,
      "dry_up": null,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025172,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.18754,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004275,
      "from_low_reference": 0.350731
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 237.553334,
      "fair_value_reference": 178.421603,
      "structural_low": 202.75,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 48,
        "median_return": 0.015468,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003615,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.14155,
        "worst_return": -0.154795,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012269,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.148637,
        "worst_return": -0.10152,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.122757,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.096114,
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      {
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 174.949744,
        "relative_strength": -2.575486,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 233.29,
        "fair_value": 175.802051,
        "relative_strength": -1.944119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.916772,
        "energy": 65.356173,
        "activity_lines": [
          259.789998,
          257.060908,
          248.341428,
          241.391505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 257.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 234.678333,
        "fair_value": 176.629872,
        "relative_strength": -3.35757,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.984117,
        "energy": 63.710741,
        "activity_lines": [
          259.126663,
          257.832725,
          250.131904,
          242.979247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 259.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 236.013333,
        "fair_value": 177.493974,
        "relative_strength": -2.626341,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.305703,
        "energy": 60.200042,
        "activity_lines": [
          259.363332,
          258.587272,
          251.87619,
          244.587096
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 267.850006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 237.553334,
        "fair_value": 178.421603,
        "relative_strength": -2.385287,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.647157,
        "energy": 67.842357,
        "activity_lines": [
          261.980001,
          260.592728,
          254.193572,
          246.641075
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}