{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "330e1c30-78c6-4d8b-95b9-cf004e583fd6",
    "symbol": "PEUG",
    "name": "Peugeot Invest Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 anonyme",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.86,
    "architecture_energy": 48.434,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.752,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.138,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.27,
        "rotation_up": 23.01,
        "upward_expansion": 7.02,
        "deceleration": 55.81,
        "rotation_down": 54.61,
        "downward_expansion": 80.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.186666,
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        59.540742
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 57.5,
    "trend_reference": 61.919666,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.071377,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 74.699525,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.230249,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.733892,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.129118,
    "excess_performance": -0.182429,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071377,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067905,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.230249,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060031,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187339,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099324,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129118,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.106401,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23324,
      "relative_activity": 0.864941,
      "balance": 1.106401,
      "dry_up": 1.203441,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045304,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.2514,
      "from_high_reference": -0.249053,
      "from_low_reference": 0.060886
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.919666,
      "fair_value_reference": 74.699525,
      "structural_low": 54.200001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.482759,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.482759,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017873,
        "regime_survival": 0.827586,
        "best_return": 0.181278,
        "worst_return": -0.17433,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.119859,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.159812,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -11.767415,
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 29179.0,
        "trend": 66.430666,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 28368.75,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -20.181235,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 75.252479,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 57.200001,
        "volume": 11362,
        "typical_volume": 25415.8,
        "trend": 64.639833,
        "fair_value": 75.878643,
        "relative_strength": -19.884097,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.503532,
        "energy": 74.644751,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 47169,
        "typical_volume": 25751.95,
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        "fair_value": 75.652757,
        "relative_strength": -20.134749,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.422293,
        "energy": 78.499523,
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          56.833334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 55.200001,
        "volume": 25367,
        "typical_volume": 25895.55,
        "trend": 63.538666,
        "fair_value": 75.424948,
        "relative_strength": -20.056552,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.335318,
        "energy": 80.129214,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.073334,
          57.563546,
          59.279857,
          60.857021
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.0,
        "volume": 41175,
        "typical_volume": 26244.55,
        "trend": 62.993833,
        "fair_value": 75.166378,
        "relative_strength": -20.142372,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.059271,
        "energy": 78.28568,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.546667,
          56.875455,
          58.789524,
          60.30614
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.099998,
        "volume": 39942,
        "typical_volume": 26856.05,
        "trend": 62.469833,
        "fair_value": 74.923929,
        "relative_strength": -19.344146,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.546462,
        "energy": 60.555527,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.62,
          56.494545,
          58.447405,
          59.861376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 57.5,
        "volume": 23324,
        "typical_volume": 26966.0,
        "trend": 61.919666,
        "fair_value": 74.699525,
        "relative_strength": -18.733892,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.85968,
        "energy": 48.434403,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.186666,
          56.470909,
          58.258738,
          59.540742
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}