{ "ticker": { "uuid": "334fb650-3dfd-4234-b2c2-06085e4fcb79", "symbol": "KMB", "name": "Kimberly-Clark Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.204, "architecture_energy": 38.263, "architecture_maturity": 45.39, "architecture_confidence": 44.521, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.13, "rotation_up": 45.12, "upward_expansion": 71.91, "deceleration": 70.92, "rotation_down": 24.03, "downward_expansion": 9.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 109.59, 109.336, 105.220346, 103.48728 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 109.68, "trend_reference": 101.923027, "distance_from_trend": 0.076106, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 116.382103, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057587, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.728874, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0779, "excess_performance": -0.109554, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076106, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026377, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.057587, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117129, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.097289, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.183174, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0779, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.732221, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27250150, "relative_activity": 1.246004, "balance": 1.732221, "dry_up": 0.901942, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056117, "annualized_volatility": 0.20862, "from_high_reference": -0.157101, "from_low_reference": 0.202094 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 101.923027, "fair_value_reference": 116.382103, "structural_low": 91.240797, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.011117, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.016112, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.058819, "worst_return": -0.07096, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.007401, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.032704, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.126513, "worst_return": -0.126237, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.035798, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.063773, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.146293, "worst_return": -0.059439, "sufficient": 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"typical_volume": 21870029.95, "trend": 101.923027, "fair_value": 116.382103, "relative_strength": -9.728874, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.203839, "energy": 38.262858, "activity_lines": [ 109.59, 109.336, 105.220346, 103.48728 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }