{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3350fe88-b863-43ce-922d-fef05d62a8c7", "symbol": "ENET", "name": "Ethernity Networks Ltd.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.631, "architecture_energy": 50.921, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.12, "rotation_up": 27.67, "upward_expansion": 8.73, "deceleration": 46.77, "rotation_down": 49.32, "downward_expansion": 82.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 1e-05, 1.1e-05, 1.2e-05, 1.7e-05 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1e-05, "trend_reference": 2.6e-05, "distance_from_trend": -0.615385, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.0038, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.997369, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -86.226958, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.8, "excess_performance": -0.851235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.615385, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.40458, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.997369, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000876, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.86227, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05982, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.8, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.16973, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 203444328, "relative_activity": 0.188477, "balance": 0.16973, "dry_up": 0.413461, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.538462, "annualized_volatility": 1.810353, "from_high_reference": -0.96, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.6e-05, "fair_value_reference": 0.0038, "structural_low": 1e-05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 55, "median_return": -0.142857, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.745455, "median_excess_return": -0.163088, "regime_survival": 0.981818, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.666667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.423077, "positive_rate": 0.058824, "directional_follow_through": 0.941176, "median_excess_return": -0.4064, "regime_survival": 0.941176, "best_return": 0.788235, "worst_return": -0.728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.602415, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.670841, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": -0.270588, "worst_return": -0.871642, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"2022-01-14", "end": "2022-01-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.128205, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-02-04", "end": "2023-11-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.953846, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.347015, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.99871, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.015, "volume": 1242220, "typical_volume": 3276214.15, "trend": 0.045545, "fair_value": 0.237062, "relative_strength": -78.066143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.902996, "energy": 91.980256, "activity_lines": [ 0.016033, 0.01755, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.110227, "energy": 36.199204, "activity_lines": [ 1.2e-05, 1.1e-05, 1.5e-05, 2.1e-05 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1e-05, "volume": 462027359, "typical_volume": 1362214891.35, "trend": 2.9e-05, "fair_value": 0.00401, "relative_strength": -87.391546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.10792, "energy": 36.024447, "activity_lines": [ 1.1e-05, 1.1e-05, 1.4e-05, 2e-05 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1e-05, "volume": 321985166, "typical_volume": 1194622759.7, "trend": 2.7e-05, "fair_value": 0.003901, "relative_strength": -86.899016, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.935941, "energy": 47.514121, "activity_lines": [ 1.1e-05, 1.1e-05, 1.3e-05, 1.8e-05 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1e-05, "volume": 203444328, "typical_volume": 1079411900.95, "trend": 2.6e-05, "fair_value": 0.0038, "relative_strength": -86.226958, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.631062, "energy": 50.921098, "activity_lines": [ 1e-05, 1.1e-05, 1.2e-05, 1.7e-05 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }