{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "335aa84e-9c5a-401e-8057-d815057f623c",
    "symbol": "00910",
    "name": "FSITC Aerospace and Satellite ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -26.21,
    "architecture_energy": 45.794,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.866,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.42,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.57,
        "rotation_up": 15.07,
        "upward_expansion": 22.59,
        "deceleration": 53.61,
        "rotation_down": 68.38,
        "downward_expansion": 52.25
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      "activity_lines": [
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        64.298387
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
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    "latest_close": 61.049999,
    "trend_reference": 62.508333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.02333,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.167949,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.897852,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.113277,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.056228,
    "excess_performance": -0.323083,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02333,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134631,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.897852,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.505405,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.121133,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.175901,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056228,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.382339,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.423888,
      "balance": 0.382339,
      "dry_up": 0.479664,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.117306,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.604814,
      "from_high_reference": -0.30625,
      "from_low_reference": 0.826751
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 32.167949,
      "structural_low": 51.25,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.065264,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.601629,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2024-02-02",
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        "return": 0.062539,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.602564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 7.985401,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 14018412.35,
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        "relative_strength": 7.782915,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 65.918002,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -18.736045,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 18.919604,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 1004131,
        "typical_volume": 11912441.05,
        "trend": 60.040333,
        "fair_value": 30.846859,
        "relative_strength": -12.509755,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 18.207127,
        "energy": 26.705485,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 4417954,
        "typical_volume": 11611423.7,
        "trend": 60.759666,
        "fair_value": 31.1375,
        "relative_strength": -14.307191,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.485175,
        "energy": 27.581162,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 53.400002,
        "volume": 7659131,
        "typical_volume": 11493406.0,
        "trend": 61.094333,
        "fair_value": 31.377436,
        "relative_strength": -20.761835,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.302986,
        "energy": 45.947347,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.290001,
          65.232728,
          67.204047,
          65.100666
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.700001,
        "volume": 3270199,
        "typical_volume": 10956620.05,
        "trend": 61.588,
        "fair_value": 31.630449,
        "relative_strength": -19.010171,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.327256,
        "energy": 55.296201,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.570001,
          62.694546,
          66.218333,
          64.752645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.450001,
        "volume": 5036857,
        "typical_volume": 10807663.55,
        "trend": 61.953,
        "fair_value": 31.88,
        "relative_strength": -18.199452,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.890783,
        "energy": 59.51234,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.536668,
          60.451819,
          65.210238,
          64.356645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 61.049999,
        "volume": 4527707,
        "typical_volume": 10681370.3,
        "trend": 62.508333,
        "fair_value": 32.167949,
        "relative_strength": -12.113277,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.209556,
        "energy": 45.793622,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.496667,
          59.639091,
          64.739286,
          64.298387
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}