{ "ticker": { "uuid": "336918b1-5e9b-46de-9532-58cd0351b10a", "symbol": "POONAWALLA", "name": "Poonawalla Fincorp Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 80.143, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.081, "architecture_energy": 64.592, "architecture_maturity": 11.481, "architecture_confidence": 82.571, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.11, "rotation_up": 69.29, "upward_expansion": 85.81, "deceleration": 49.2, "rotation_down": 12.25, "downward_expansion": 12.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 471.009994, 461.324542, 441.084999, 433.732257 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 480.049988, "trend_reference": 429.184999, "distance_from_trend": 0.118515, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 415.16068, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156299, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.005694, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.112514, "excess_performance": 0.156224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.118515, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01551, "read": "Falling" 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361.200012, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.00609, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.012061, "regime_survival": 0.678571, "best_return": 0.417429, "worst_return": -0.251622, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.065197, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.040254, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.264403, "worst_return": -0.180233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.042116, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.044825, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.677213, "worst_return": -0.04503, "sufficient": 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441.385454, 427.663571, 426.252687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 459.700012, "volume": 9303256, "typical_volume": 7822181.95, "trend": 429.163332, "fair_value": 414.579822, "relative_strength": 7.339098, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.922632, "energy": 66.800362, "activity_lines": [ 466.726668, 447.513638, 431.571667, 428.194193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 463.549988, "volume": 5770586, "typical_volume": 7909375.7, "trend": 428.596665, "fair_value": 414.8729, "relative_strength": 5.285007, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.337876, "energy": 69.985102, "activity_lines": [ 466.893331, 453.49909, 435.674047, 430.412687 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 480.049988, "volume": 8516106, "typical_volume": 7884867.6, "trend": 429.184999, "fair_value": 415.16068, "relative_strength": 8.005694, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.080815, "energy": 64.592024, "activity_lines": [ 471.009994, 461.324542, 441.084999, 433.732257 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }