{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "336b89ca-7ae8-497b-a63b-7fa40c2906fc",
    "symbol": "USBC",
    "name": "U.S. Bancorp",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.565,
    "architecture_energy": 66.865,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.332,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.877,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.88,
        "rotation_up": 70.83,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 62.6,
        "rotation_down": 14.66,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.396,
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        51.878646,
        50.328862
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 55.299999,
    "trend_reference": 48.781988,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.133615,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.278614,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.407891,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.554238,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.094179,
    "excess_performance": -0.080068,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133615,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074305,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.407891,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166821,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005542,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059763,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094179,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031889,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218517,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023658,
      "from_low_reference": 0.492608
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 48.781988,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.278614,
      "structural_low": 43.256626,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.004722,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013627,
        "regime_survival": 0.708333,
        "best_return": 0.132862,
        "worst_return": -0.082344,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.046106,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01655,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.176987,
        "worst_return": -0.055793,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.060687,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004848,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.08928,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.054511,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.047612,
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        "best_return": 0.410697,
        "worst_return": -0.2054,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05721,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.038111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.171034,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 37.263773,
        "relative_strength": -6.530544,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 46.056286,
        "fair_value": 37.971093,
        "relative_strength": -3.297716,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.847216,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 46.775061,
        "fair_value": 38.301804,
        "relative_strength": -0.698151,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.747301,
        "energy": 93.15293,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 54.299999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 20.65,
        "trend": 47.143137,
        "fair_value": 38.478917,
        "relative_strength": -0.74233,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.389932,
        "energy": 96.517676,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 54.700001,
        "volume": 140,
        "typical_volume": 27.65,
        "trend": 47.471612,
        "fair_value": 38.654237,
        "relative_strength": 1.293651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.877499,
        "energy": 95.049773,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.417174,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 27.65,
        "trend": 47.836092,
        "fair_value": 38.819341,
        "relative_strength": 5.55758,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.403872,
        "energy": 95.711741,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.548439,
          52.401456,
          49.980719,
          48.925259
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 56.259998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 27.65,
        "trend": 48.193276,
        "fair_value": 38.979966,
        "relative_strength": 4.441482,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.822314,
        "energy": 93.340384,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.405333,
          53.453065,
          50.746533,
          49.468736
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.740002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.9,
        "trend": 48.514782,
        "fair_value": 39.126601,
        "relative_strength": 1.522419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.235744,
        "energy": 83.247808,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.362667,
          54.018707,
          51.310182,
          49.891106
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.299999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.9,
        "trend": 48.781988,
        "fair_value": 39.278614,
        "relative_strength": -0.554238,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.564942,
        "energy": 66.865188,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.396,
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          51.878646,
          50.328862
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}