{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33795ba4-20c8-4996-9665-d40a60509a8c", "symbol": "6976", "name": "Acepodia, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.56, "architecture_energy": 42.584, "architecture_maturity": 20.98, "architecture_confidence": 81.672, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.38, "rotation_up": 13.48, "upward_expansion": 8.02, "deceleration": 41.32, "rotation_down": 63.18, "downward_expansion": 79.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.033333, 12.391818, 12.525476, 12.576559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.7, "trend_reference": 12.818333, "distance_from_trend": -0.087245, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.195833, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.448005, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.729262, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.158273, "excess_performance": -0.599645, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087245, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065265, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.448005, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039421, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.427293, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009076, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.158273, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.918448, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1836735, "relative_activity": 0.385455, "balance": 0.918448, "dry_up": 0.402038, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102564, "annualized_volatility": 0.267786, "from_high_reference": -0.389034, "from_low_reference": 0.078341 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.818333, "fair_value_reference": 21.195833, "structural_low": 10.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.090566, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.068788, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.002941, "worst_return": -0.111437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.029708, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.148577, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.011173, "worst_return": -0.070588, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.167598, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.459382, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.167598, "worst_return": -0.167598, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.5, "volume": 1969518, "typical_volume": 4831206.25, "trend": 13.156667, "fair_value": 21.378105, "relative_strength": -38.799013, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.453682, "energy": 12.327739, "activity_lines": [ 12.93, 12.808182, 12.71881, 12.798387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.05, "volume": 1692259, "typical_volume": 4810398.15, "trend": 13.051667, "fair_value": 21.317532, "relative_strength": -39.290672, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.160893, "energy": 16.85014, "activity_lines": [ 12.61, 12.68, 12.667381, 12.726989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.95, "volume": 2164498, "typical_volume": 4776244.8, "trend": 12.93, "fair_value": 21.257097, "relative_strength": -40.389809, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.303345, "energy": 28.702309, "activity_lines": [ 12.32, 12.556364, 12.608095, 12.655914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.7, "volume": 1836735, "typical_volume": 4765103.45, "trend": 12.818333, "fair_value": 21.195833, "relative_strength": -42.729262, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.559905, "energy": 42.584039, "activity_lines": [ 12.033333, 12.391818, 12.525476, 12.576559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }