{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3398ad3a-898e-43f4-8505-c09a44617584", "symbol": "BN", "name": "Brookfield Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 81.492, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -8.564, "architecture_energy": 17.667, "architecture_maturity": 18.942, "architecture_confidence": 51.013, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.52, "rotation_up": 18.92, "upward_expansion": 17.65, "deceleration": 56.48, "rotation_down": 48.15, "downward_expansion": 37.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.43, 60.903957, 61.438698, 60.883493 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 61.5, "trend_reference": 60.784329, "distance_from_trend": 0.011774, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 49.495941, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.242526, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.566422, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -6.4e-05, "excess_performance": -0.120486, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011774, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012431, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.242526, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132532, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.115664, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060537, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -6.4e-05, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.263259, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11209600, "relative_activity": 1.083533, "balance": 1.263259, "dry_up": 1.173317, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040251, "annualized_volatility": 0.26426, "from_high_reference": -0.098392, "from_low_reference": 0.183619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.784329, "fair_value_reference": 49.495941, "structural_low": 51.959306, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.005326, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025138, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.179427, "worst_return": -0.13298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.038416, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.02401, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.235782, "worst_return": -0.101818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -6.4e-05, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.017528, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.209082, "worst_return": -0.141286, 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-0.035487, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.045109, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.131536, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.078565, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0563, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.007465, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": 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3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.391956, "energy": 21.382871, "activity_lines": [ 60.564666, 61.297216, 61.426564, 60.944166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.580002, "volume": 13558300, "typical_volume": 10710450.0, "trend": 60.938611, "fair_value": 49.29518, "relative_strength": -11.903501, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.516331, "energy": 28.696656, "activity_lines": [ 60.134667, 60.898471, 61.357979, 60.847275 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.5, "volume": 11209600, "typical_volume": 10345415.0, "trend": 60.784329, "fair_value": 49.495941, "relative_strength": -11.566422, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.56364, "energy": 17.666523, "activity_lines": [ 60.43, 60.903957, 61.438698, 60.883493 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }