{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "33a2cfe3-493d-4e64-b811-2910f9dc1638",
    "symbol": "EWM",
    "name": "ISHARES INC MSCI MALAYSIA ETF (POST REV SPLT)",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -17.813,
    "architecture_energy": 20.655,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.062,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.373,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.68,
        "rotation_up": 43.39,
        "upward_expansion": 24.57,
        "deceleration": 38.17,
        "rotation_down": 19.66,
        "downward_expansion": 53.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.993333,
        27.726552,
        27.90992,
        28.046923
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.18,
    "trend_reference": 28.207296,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.000968,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.246829,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212208,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.845056,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.027376,
    "excess_performance": -0.153001,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000968,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017826,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212208,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109194,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068451,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093297,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027376,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.841372,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1790774,
      "relative_activity": 1.274643,
      "balance": 0.841372,
      "dry_up": 1.021807,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024106,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.122084,
      "from_high_reference": -0.061189,
      "from_low_reference": 0.188658
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 28.207296,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.246829,
      "structural_low": 26.565,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.006247,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.388889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012256,
        "regime_survival": 0.722222,
        "best_return": 0.095455,
        "worst_return": -0.082058,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
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        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.091835,
        "worst_return": -0.05548,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": 0.032683,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006402,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.104523,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.090578,
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      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -7.124982,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1605339.9,
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        "fair_value": 23.078687,
        "relative_strength": -3.123514,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.435804,
        "energy": 38.048995,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1215139,
        "typical_volume": 1473332.25,
        "trend": 28.12862,
        "fair_value": 23.131831,
        "relative_strength": -4.47102,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.05563,
        "energy": 25.829837,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.600667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 28.08,
        "volume": 1527630,
        "typical_volume": 1433150.25,
        "trend": 28.169067,
        "fair_value": 23.188895,
        "relative_strength": -3.966749,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.627242,
        "energy": 20.825853,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.819333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.18,
        "volume": 1790774,
        "typical_volume": 1404921.85,
        "trend": 28.207296,
        "fair_value": 23.246829,
        "relative_strength": -6.845056,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.813299,
        "energy": 20.654919,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}