{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33b55e9c-c945-4c95-a6b7-226c0679482d", "symbol": "IAEA", "name": "iShares AEX UCITS ETF", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.569, "architecture_energy": 73.814, "architecture_maturity": 68.905, "architecture_confidence": 79.083, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 72.49, "upward_expansion": 91.73, "deceleration": 48.35, "rotation_down": 20.49, "downward_expansion": 13.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.984133, 10.890473, 10.65651, 10.454976 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.132, "trend_reference": 10.228667, "distance_from_trend": 0.088314, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.792187, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.266124, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.289973, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.13615, "excess_performance": 0.019488, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088314, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049227, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.266124, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078119, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.0129, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003717, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.13615, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.240397, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 178731, "relative_activity": 0.6702, "balance": 1.240397, "dry_up": 0.569802, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020799, "annualized_volatility": 0.14031, "from_high_reference": -0.004115, "from_low_reference": 0.280423 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.228667, "fair_value_reference": 8.792187, "structural_low": 9.315, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"direction": 72.923529, "energy": 85.435511, "activity_lines": [ 10.769733, 10.642436, 10.386995, 10.233658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.876, "volume": 243063, "typical_volume": 395214.7, "trend": 10.0813, "fair_value": 8.720885, "relative_strength": 0.849265, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.235799, "energy": 73.500708, "activity_lines": [ 10.807733, 10.709055, 10.452757, 10.288286 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.88, "volume": 59067, "typical_volume": 368088.85, "trend": 10.134567, "fair_value": 8.74302, "relative_strength": 1.025051, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.412684, "energy": 70.649183, "activity_lines": [ 10.841867, 10.762291, 10.515338, 10.339815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.97, "volume": 126965, "typical_volume": 332429.0, "trend": 10.182433, "fair_value": 8.766917, "relative_strength": 0.973942, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.47959, "energy": 68.949707, "activity_lines": [ 10.898667, 10.816655, 10.580786, 10.393714 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.132, "volume": 178731, "typical_volume": 266683.15, "trend": 10.228667, "fair_value": 8.792187, "relative_strength": 1.289973, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.568918, "energy": 73.814291, "activity_lines": [ 10.984133, 10.890473, 10.65651, 10.454976 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }