{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33b5f2b5-19f4-4bc9-b7bd-6a08d5bcd5b2", "symbol": "SJ", "name": "Scienjoy Holding Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.847, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.153, "architecture_energy": 27.956, "architecture_maturity": 27.601, "architecture_confidence": 73.621, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.78, "rotation_up": 18.58, "upward_expansion": 8.99, "deceleration": 58.57, "rotation_down": 48.7, "downward_expansion": 70.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.913227, 0.9128, 0.99055, 1.057927 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.9012, "trend_reference": 1.124707, "distance_from_trend": -0.198724, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.235319, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.270472, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.961264, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.264327, "excess_performance": -0.45178, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.198724, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090854, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.270472, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033549, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139613, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160957, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.264327, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.204486, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83715, "relative_activity": 0.313332, "balance": 1.204486, "dry_up": 0.434893, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.29363, "annualized_volatility": 0.880483, "from_high_reference": -0.447117, "from_low_reference": 1.002667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.124707, "fair_value_reference": 1.235319, "structural_low": 0.6579, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.010101, "positive_rate": 0.483871, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": -0.007452, "regime_survival": 0.774194, "best_return": 1.046577, "worst_return": -0.395652, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.149607, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.062236, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.890411, "worst_return": -0.692251, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.046154, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.100919, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.269231, "worst_return": -0.719192, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017106, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.117021, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.122222, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.085083, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.047237, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"fair_value": 1.276818, "relative_strength": -21.872463, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.453643, "energy": 43.695278, "activity_lines": [ 0.899653, 0.951596, 1.046348, 1.096443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.812, "volume": 126807, "typical_volume": 278636.35, "trend": 1.110547, "fair_value": 1.262343, "relative_strength": -18.237669, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.564417, "energy": 45.327981, "activity_lines": [ 0.87244, 0.914604, 1.0164, 1.077446 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.028, "volume": 216270, "typical_volume": 281208.5, "trend": 1.121197, "fair_value": 1.250471, "relative_strength": 2.869953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.861726, "energy": 29.327063, "activity_lines": [ 0.916787, 0.923029, 1.008675, 1.07212 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.9012, "volume": 83715, "typical_volume": 267176.25, "trend": 1.124707, "fair_value": 1.235319, "relative_strength": -13.961264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.152984, "energy": 27.956157, "activity_lines": [ 0.913227, 0.9128, 0.99055, 1.057927 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }