{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33b9958b-8b16-4e44-811b-1f4e2bde02f5", "symbol": "FXC", "name": "INVESCO CCY SHS CDN DLR TR CDN DLR SHS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 54.463, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.794, "architecture_energy": 26.5, "architecture_maturity": 69.633, "architecture_confidence": 86.845, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.7, "rotation_up": 28.1, "upward_expansion": 17.31, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 30.34, "downward_expansion": 67.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.700855, 69.503207, 69.907088, 70.232564 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 70.06, "trend_reference": 70.618574, "distance_from_trend": -0.00791, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 70.150819, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.001295, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.54893, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.020721, "excess_performance": -0.146346, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00791, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004029, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.001295, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018168, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.115489, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010085, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.020721, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.961729, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 74630, "relative_activity": 0.537802, "balance": 0.961729, "dry_up": 1.367842, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008335, "annualized_volatility": 0.0469, "from_high_reference": -0.032774, "from_low_reference": 0.020786 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.618574, "fair_value_reference": 70.150819, "structural_low": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 69.783056, "volume": 281974, "typical_volume": 153683.3, "trend": 70.742513, "fair_value": 70.169666, "relative_strength": -9.415243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.831529, "energy": 80.213665, "activity_lines": [ 69.269496, 69.512071, 70.110107, 70.426819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 69.233111, "volume": 283380, "typical_volume": 150314.6, "trend": 70.668008, "fair_value": 70.156623, "relative_strength": -9.274669, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.313695, "energy": 58.47927, "activity_lines": [ 69.288455, 69.401218, 69.989627, 70.329438 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.728562, "volume": 119270, "typical_volume": 143499.7, "trend": 70.622108, "fair_value": 70.151398, "relative_strength": -9.249055, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.332414, "energy": 42.129451, "activity_lines": [ 69.466255, 69.413194, 69.929121, 70.268829 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.06, "volume": 74630, "typical_volume": 138768.55, "trend": 70.618574, "fair_value": 70.150819, "relative_strength": -11.54893, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.79374, "energy": 26.499715, "activity_lines": [ 69.700855, 69.503207, 69.907088, 70.232564 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }