{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33bc4514-4e7f-42f2-9b62-a9cb85a3e051", "symbol": "600959", "name": "Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.999, "architecture_energy": 49.24, "architecture_maturity": 63.207, "architecture_confidence": 65.654, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.02, "rotation_up": 27.0, "upward_expansion": 20.9, "deceleration": 65.77, "rotation_down": 41.86, "downward_expansion": 68.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.054, 3.040364, 3.26281, 3.446602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.07, "trend_reference": 3.656, "distance_from_trend": -0.160284, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.318444, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.074868, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.803942, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.295872, "excess_performance": -0.252668, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.160284, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039327, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.074868, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.283738, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148039, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15427, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.295872, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.37055, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164175927, "relative_activity": 0.735316, "balance": 0.37055, "dry_up": 0.797218, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069406, "annualized_volatility": 0.264893, "from_high_reference": -0.364389, "from_low_reference": 0.073427 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.656, "fair_value_reference": 3.318444, "structural_low": 2.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.009836, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": 0.007523, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.072165, "worst_return": -0.086506, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00685, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.004356, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.198305, "worst_return": -0.121339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.096488, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.027347, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.13575, "worst_return": -0.056604, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3.32132, "relative_strength": -15.309498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.21287, "energy": 74.650588, "activity_lines": [ 2.988667, 3.060545, 3.346714, 3.521183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.12, "volume": 156177855, "typical_volume": 228070072.45, "trend": 3.668333, "fair_value": 3.320137, "relative_strength": -11.41366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.923837, "energy": 57.339501, "activity_lines": [ 3.037333, 3.048909, 3.305, 3.485204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.07, "volume": 164175927, "typical_volume": 223272520.75, "trend": 3.656, "fair_value": 3.318444, "relative_strength": -14.803942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.998709, "energy": 49.240466, "activity_lines": [ 3.054, 3.040364, 3.26281, 3.446602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }