{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33bdc449-04b0-486e-b284-9a923c2d21c4", "symbol": "EOG", "name": "EOG Resources Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.196, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.242, "architecture_energy": 51.041, "architecture_maturity": 6.089, "architecture_confidence": 75.882, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.37, "rotation_up": 61.97, "upward_expansion": 80.69, "deceleration": 50.74, "rotation_down": 15.66, "downward_expansion": 14.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 141.369286, 138.30331, 136.96091, 135.586075 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 134.74, "trend_reference": 131.310455, "distance_from_trend": 0.026118, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 118.187195, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140056, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.153363, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.194064, "excess_performance": 0.068439, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026118, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087393, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140056, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015977, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011534, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006272, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.194064, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.371073, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18900905, "relative_activity": 1.046114, "balance": 1.371073, "dry_up": 0.864859, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066911, "annualized_volatility": 0.336182, "from_high_reference": -0.106044, "from_low_reference": 0.349297 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 131.310455, "fair_value_reference": 118.187195, "structural_low": 111.342907, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.013044, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": -0.020848, "regime_survival": 0.565217, "best_return": 0.172062, "worst_return": -0.180807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.023563, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.062009, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.170956, "worst_return": -0.11133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.03907, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005341, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.254382, "worst_return": -0.17207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"close": 146.39, "volume": 14025866, "typical_volume": 19654755.5, "trend": 128.815052, "fair_value": 117.893078, "relative_strength": 12.493633, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.479252, "energy": 44.183559, "activity_lines": [ 138.813646, 136.286864, 135.988923, 134.014578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 148.69, "volume": 12919272, "typical_volume": 18818256.65, "trend": 130.256756, "fair_value": 118.092197, "relative_strength": 12.844286, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.660694, "energy": 65.450078, "activity_lines": [ 142.984795, 138.631178, 137.177533, 135.296833 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 134.74, "volume": 18900905, "typical_volume": 18067721.6, "trend": 131.310455, "fair_value": 118.187195, "relative_strength": -1.153363, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.241953, "energy": 51.040869, "activity_lines": [ 141.369286, 138.30331, 136.96091, 135.586075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }