{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33c32109-1f2c-4fa4-8b32-1d87faed5b53", "symbol": "6848", "name": "RBC Bioscience Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 85.476, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.554, "architecture_energy": 29.416, "architecture_maturity": 54.612, "architecture_confidence": 77.266, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.02, "rotation_up": 37.2, "upward_expansion": 61.87, "deceleration": 87.86, "rotation_down": 24.55, "downward_expansion": 14.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.066666, 20.159282, 19.602769, 18.766457 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.549999, "trend_reference": 17.707807, "distance_from_trend": 0.216977, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.422623, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.397298, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.051042, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.378619, "excess_performance": -0.062753, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.216977, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081167, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.397298, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.175263, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10051, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149744, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.378619, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.606262, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 469741, "relative_activity": 2.241895, "balance": 1.606262, "dry_up": 0.96523, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095231, "annualized_volatility": 0.391682, "from_high_reference": -0.091927, "from_low_reference": 0.590715 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.707807, "fair_value_reference": 15.422623, "structural_low": 13.547369, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.020619, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.006945, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.02139, "worst_return": -0.045918, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.045844, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.020838, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.068728, "worst_return": 0.022959, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.017835, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.065976, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.079038, "worst_return": -0.043367, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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53.6279, "activity_lines": [ 20.501755, 19.949761, 18.944938, 18.09785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.1, "volume": 94059, "typical_volume": 182588.15, "trend": 17.293684, "fair_value": 15.299579, "relative_strength": -14.446638, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.43488, "energy": 50.558883, "activity_lines": [ 20.439649, 20.06689, 19.155915, 18.287697 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.049999, "volume": 206528, "typical_volume": 191652.95, "trend": 17.418684, "fair_value": 15.333533, "relative_strength": -17.167553, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.250061, "energy": 30.904048, "activity_lines": [ 19.950702, 19.958373, 19.244712, 18.401008 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.049999, "volume": 38645, "typical_volume": 187335.05, "trend": 17.516842, "fair_value": 15.369034, "relative_strength": -18.246844, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.619081, "energy": 20.173414, "activity_lines": [ 19.483333, 19.840239, 19.316103, 18.506254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.549999, "volume": 469741, "typical_volume": 209528.55, "trend": 17.707807, "fair_value": 15.422623, "relative_strength": -10.051042, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.553826, "energy": 29.415764, "activity_lines": [ 20.066666, 20.159282, 19.602769, 18.766457 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }