{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33c548dd-1be4-40f2-9de8-9c041a391132", "symbol": "MRBK", "name": "Meridian Bank", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.725, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.538, "architecture_energy": 29.135, "architecture_maturity": 12.98, "architecture_confidence": 66.42, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.88, "rotation_up": 46.68, "upward_expansion": 73.58, "deceleration": 61.73, "rotation_down": 19.17, "downward_expansion": 2.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.787333, 19.771273, 19.338588, 19.228124 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.7, "trend_reference": 19.109664, "distance_from_trend": 0.030892, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.607318, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.44775, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.617089, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.034787, "excess_performance": -0.22224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030892, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065688, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.44775, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024999, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.016171, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037627, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.034787, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.730583, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 452237, "relative_activity": 0.746214, "balance": 1.730583, "dry_up": 0.954353, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059968, "annualized_volatility": 0.258859, "from_high_reference": -0.083819, "from_low_reference": 0.459771 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.109664, "fair_value_reference": 13.607318, "structural_low": 16.87, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.000524, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": 0.007544, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.249757, "worst_return": -0.231994, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.078011, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.099041, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.357129, "worst_return": -0.258177, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.099947, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.010367, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.612176, "worst_return": -0.418188, "sufficient": true }, { 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.878058, "energy": 42.151854, "activity_lines": [ 19.637333, 19.086079, 18.938201, 18.909542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 19.81, "volume": 408666, "typical_volume": 568484.85, "trend": 18.7691, "fair_value": 13.370089, "relative_strength": -0.509346, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.417737, "energy": 50.504723, "activity_lines": [ 19.728, 19.283091, 19.020347, 18.982782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.24, "volume": 758174, "typical_volume": 587950.8, "trend": 18.857386, "fair_value": 13.439673, "relative_strength": 5.789565, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.718382, "energy": 51.62657, "activity_lines": [ 19.900667, 19.537636, 19.143897, 19.077679 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.82, "volume": 418934, "typical_volume": 590362.3, "trend": 18.939227, "fair_value": 13.498866, "relative_strength": 5.022401, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.153862, "energy": 43.424376, "activity_lines": [ 19.914667, 19.678545, 19.222921, 19.139783 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.64, "volume": 684167, "typical_volume": 605574.2, "trend": 19.031494, "fair_value": 13.551888, "relative_strength": 3.265725, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.049135, "energy": 32.860085, "activity_lines": [ 19.830667, 19.738182, 19.280575, 19.184994 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.7, "volume": 452237, "typical_volume": 606041.85, "trend": 19.109664, "fair_value": 13.607318, "relative_strength": -1.617089, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.537722, "energy": 29.134653, "activity_lines": [ 19.787333, 19.771273, 19.338588, 19.228124 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }