{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33c857b7-01f9-4d2e-b0e5-db6401dc5bba", "symbol": "5353", "name": "Tailyn Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 76.262, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.211, "architecture_energy": 17.554, "architecture_maturity": 55.212, "architecture_confidence": 76.379, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.75, "rotation_up": 18.59, "upward_expansion": 51.22, "deceleration": 93.41, "rotation_down": 36.9, "downward_expansion": 21.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.123333, 28.764378, 28.686877, 27.777569 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 28.200001, "trend_reference": 26.770609, "distance_from_trend": 0.053394, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.670984, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016427, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.946848, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.155348, "excess_performance": -0.286024, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053394, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066114, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.016427, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12141, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219468, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103559, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.155348, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.858284, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 165535, "relative_activity": 0.160113, "balance": 1.858284, "dry_up": 0.231931, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085816, "annualized_volatility": 0.348515, "from_high_reference": -0.172876, "from_low_reference": 0.268617 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.770609, "fair_value_reference": 28.670984, "structural_low": 22.228931, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.022911, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.01989, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.033921, "worst_return": -0.088934, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.087886, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.118716, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.040269, "worst_return": -0.120138, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.435747, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.439182, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.661074, "worst_return": -0.087772, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"direction": 36.468497, "energy": 22.703522, "activity_lines": [ 28.88922, 29.714559, 28.476757, 27.483624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.549999, "volume": 391572, "typical_volume": 1036306.15, "trend": 26.581978, "fair_value": 28.733209, "relative_strength": -20.663021, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.501769, "energy": 25.188567, "activity_lines": [ 28.216666, 29.318371, 28.511762, 27.550125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.6, "volume": 178948, "typical_volume": 1031909.85, "trend": 26.692646, "fair_value": 28.702953, "relative_strength": -18.890405, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.541024, "energy": 23.428302, "activity_lines": [ 28.136666, 29.077102, 28.628809, 27.68032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 28.200001, "volume": 165535, "typical_volume": 1033865.85, "trend": 26.770609, "fair_value": 28.670984, "relative_strength": -21.946848, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.211095, "energy": 17.554466, "activity_lines": [ 28.123333, 28.764378, 28.686877, 27.777569 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }