{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33ca1af4-3fbf-4f57-b648-e10ab37ed44d", "symbol": "DYNAMATECH", "name": "Dynamatic Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.973, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.158, "architecture_energy": 20.955, "architecture_maturity": 28.532, "architecture_confidence": 59.957, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.6, "rotation_up": 42.98, "upward_expansion": 59.25, "deceleration": 57.59, "rotation_down": 23.91, "downward_expansion": 18.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 10747.533333, 10607.745455, 10721.271429, 10566.402205 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 11401.0, "trend_reference": 10220.512598, "distance_from_trend": 0.115502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7505.800205, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.518959, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 22.963842, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.334138, "excess_performance": 0.377847, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115502, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04647, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.518959, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.289925, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.229638, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.313364, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.334138, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.885547, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87035, "relative_activity": 1.022999, "balance": 0.885547, "dry_up": 0.647133, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080141, "annualized_volatility": 0.526913, "from_high_reference": -0.114485, "from_low_reference": 0.804886 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10220.512598, "fair_value_reference": 7505.800205, "structural_low": 8773.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.029463, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.004539, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.190505, "worst_return": -0.075269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.130292, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.072298, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.674429, "worst_return": -0.129356, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.180649, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.217657, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.892594, "worst_return": -0.21762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.019411, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.030593, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.196602, "worst_return": -0.119305, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.114118, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.086846, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041819, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001559, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", 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8.931258, "activity_lines": [ 10436.533333, 10513.109091, 10665.002381, 10441.898599 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10458.0, "volume": 41837, "typical_volume": 90409.9, "trend": 10103.731803, "fair_value": 7418.052052, "relative_strength": 18.748046, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.10013, "energy": 8.880052, "activity_lines": [ 10426.533333, 10483.963636, 10657.371429, 10466.655549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10382.0, "volume": 38949, "typical_volume": 85704.05, "trend": 10133.19502, "fair_value": 7458.304318, "relative_strength": 13.932192, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.854254, "energy": 6.544836, "activity_lines": [ 10422.2, 10446.054545, 10643.897619, 10484.608335 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11401.0, "volume": 87035, "typical_volume": 85078.3, "trend": 10220.512598, "fair_value": 7505.800205, "relative_strength": 22.963842, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.157548, "energy": 20.955374, "activity_lines": [ 10747.533333, 10607.745455, 10721.271429, 10566.402205 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }