{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "33cd0e25-185d-44ee-aad7-bb3a8c4b2553",
    "symbol": "6224",
    "name": "Polytronics Technology Corp.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -21.689,
    "architecture_energy": 39.686,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.215,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.443,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.22,
        "rotation_up": 14.38,
        "upward_expansion": 20.8,
        "deceleration": 55.12,
        "rotation_down": 64.39,
        "downward_expansion": 48.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        57.513333,
        63.181819,
        69.368581,
        65.671215
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 63.299999,
    "trend_reference": 59.426223,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065186,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 52.24333,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.211638,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.070789,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.585825,
    "excess_performance": 0.144453,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065186,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171973,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211638,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.196107,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100708,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167827,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.585825,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.755813,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2651916,
      "relative_activity": 0.369963,
      "balance": 1.755813,
      "dry_up": 0.307585,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.210354,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.914071,
      "from_high_reference": -0.350769,
      "from_low_reference": 0.67621
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.426223,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.24333,
      "structural_low": 37.763775,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.004184,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01246,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.041667,
        "worst_return": -0.05059,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.128162,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09352,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.012552,
        "worst_return": -0.143599,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.159968,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.13265,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.094435,
        "worst_return": -0.179916,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.198069,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.366434,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.023609,
        "worst_return": -0.540838,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.114035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.064955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.024221,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.101001,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014574,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056754,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.062921,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.039427,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011457,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016371,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.059829,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-14",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 680994.85,
        "trend": 58.175266,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 6950764.05,
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        "fair_value": 52.201245,
        "relative_strength": -18.118523,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 15.684334,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 51.900002,
        "volume": 2310103,
        "typical_volume": 7032754.65,
        "trend": 58.324957,
        "fair_value": 52.179307,
        "relative_strength": -22.586578,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": -10.072078,
        "energy": 26.747169,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.0,
        "volume": 1608429,
        "typical_volume": 7073666.2,
        "trend": 58.716875,
        "fair_value": 52.180829,
        "relative_strength": -19.467239,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.098438,
        "energy": 39.227049,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.140001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 63.299999,
        "volume": 2651916,
        "typical_volume": 7168052.35,
        "trend": 59.426223,
        "fair_value": 52.24333,
        "relative_strength": -10.070789,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.68864,
        "energy": 39.686285,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}