{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33d1a00e-b86a-49fb-af37-328e929b8498", "symbol": "688526", "name": "Wuhan Keqian Biology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.105, "architecture_energy": 28.208, "architecture_maturity": 90.5, "architecture_confidence": 82.37, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.36, "rotation_up": 26.61, "upward_expansion": 15.79, "deceleration": 46.76, "rotation_down": 29.96, "downward_expansion": 61.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.814667, 12.708182, 12.96363, 13.390028 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.95, "trend_reference": 14.017974, "distance_from_trend": -0.076186, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.000065, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.13667, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.514942, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.179573, "excess_performance": -0.136369, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.076186, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054487, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.13667, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040302, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125149, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04266, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.179573, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.170202, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7169596, "relative_activity": 1.030424, "balance": 0.170202, "dry_up": 1.105375, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054264, "annualized_volatility": 0.239778, "from_high_reference": -0.334887, "from_low_reference": 0.095601 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.017974, "fair_value_reference": 15.000065, "structural_low": 11.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.000959, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.013464, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.253317, "worst_return": -0.251528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.065158, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.067993, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.103704, "worst_return": -0.139989, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.097075, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.142794, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.016165, "worst_return": -0.296487, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 12.606, 12.734359, 13.270453, 13.754541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.77, "volume": 11114532, "typical_volume": 7707133.2, "trend": 14.223627, "fair_value": 15.168534, "relative_strength": -11.355875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.099376, "energy": 47.506072, "activity_lines": [ 12.689333, 12.690458, 13.172704, 13.656514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.32, "volume": 6152598, "typical_volume": 7256688.65, "trend": 14.134882, "fair_value": 15.109126, "relative_strength": -15.080066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.676591, "energy": 40.447247, "activity_lines": [ 12.61, 12.590901, 13.047497, 13.5337 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.03, "volume": 6327658, "typical_volume": 7084006.45, "trend": 14.072032, "fair_value": 15.053046, "relative_strength": -10.064074, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.358487, "energy": 32.039642, "activity_lines": [ 12.765333, 12.652, 13.004088, 13.462417 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.95, "volume": 7169596, "typical_volume": 6957905.55, "trend": 14.017974, "fair_value": 15.000065, "relative_strength": -12.514942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.104932, "energy": 28.208221, "activity_lines": [ 12.814667, 12.708182, 12.96363, 13.390028 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }