{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33d2f656-e03b-4a4c-80d6-daab60e4e228", "symbol": "6580", "name": "TaiRx, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.604, "architecture_energy": 41.79, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.368, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.74, "rotation_up": 27.37, "upward_expansion": 10.8, "deceleration": 57.86, "rotation_down": 43.31, "downward_expansion": 72.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.156667, 13.191818, 14.021905, 14.77 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.05, "trend_reference": 16.156667, "distance_from_trend": -0.192284, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.816646, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.494512, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.561853, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.363415, "excess_performance": -0.804787, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.192284, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155648, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.494512, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083714, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.545619, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027131, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363415, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.61966, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 227881, "relative_activity": 0.355578, "balance": 0.61966, "dry_up": 0.942636, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106985, "annualized_volatility": 0.360386, "from_high_reference": -0.589623, "from_low_reference": 0.09205 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.156667, "fair_value_reference": 25.816646, "structural_low": 11.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.019565, "positive_rate": 0.378378, "directional_follow_through": 0.621622, "median_excess_return": -0.044811, "regime_survival": 0.891892, "best_return": 0.461078, "worst_return": -0.185366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.061753, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.12926, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.483034, "worst_return": -0.329694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.089122, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.281099, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.389222, "worst_return": -0.384279, "sufficient": true 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.5, "volume": 391943, "typical_volume": 657015.55, "trend": 17.346667, "fair_value": 26.240939, "relative_strength": -56.909901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.768089, "energy": 70.225484, "activity_lines": [ 13.036667, 13.714545, 14.729762, 15.719247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.2, "volume": 1491669, "typical_volume": 678930.0, "trend": 17.038333, "fair_value": 26.125027, "relative_strength": -54.642502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.084282, "energy": 66.250768, "activity_lines": [ 13.01, 13.512727, 14.524524, 15.45172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.2, "volume": 303824, "typical_volume": 670207.35, "trend": 16.73, "fair_value": 26.015411, "relative_strength": -53.130748, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.331419, "energy": 62.735756, "activity_lines": [ 13.043333, 13.363636, 14.34119, 15.204086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.4, "volume": 393073, "typical_volume": 647541.95, "trend": 16.448333, "fair_value": 25.918095, "relative_strength": -52.692348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.229352, "energy": 49.4628, "activity_lines": [ 13.163333, 13.296364, 14.193571, 14.989247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 13.05, "volume": 227881, "typical_volume": 640874.65, "trend": 16.156667, "fair_value": 25.816646, "relative_strength": -54.561853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.603847, "energy": 41.789898, "activity_lines": [ 13.156667, 13.191818, 14.021905, 14.77 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }