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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-18", "benchmark": "^OMXH25", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.401, "architecture_energy": 57.954, "architecture_maturity": 78.698, "architecture_confidence": 76.141, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.25, "rotation_up": 53.22, "upward_expansion": 81.31, "deceleration": 70.7, "rotation_down": 24.9, "downward_expansion": 10.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.466667, 61.968182, 59.376143, 56.854614 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 62.400002, "trend_reference": 53.114274, "distance_from_trend": 0.174825, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.9447, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274908, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.461981, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.555592, "excess_performance": 0.432017, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.174825, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083527, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.274908, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100138, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.11462, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110249, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.555592, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.395165, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 387669, "relative_activity": 1.90721, "balance": 2.395165, "dry_up": 2.182027, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047584, "annualized_volatility": 0.303909, "from_high_reference": -0.051672, "from_low_reference": 0.613467 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.114274, "fair_value_reference": 48.9447, "structural_low": 38.674476, "invalidation": 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"up", "direction": 74.952501, "energy": 89.570635, "activity_lines": [ 61.456667, 59.076364, 56.647143, 54.08139 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "close": 64.699997, "volume": 202434, "typical_volume": 197554.05, "trend": 51.774254, "fair_value": 48.445385, "relative_strength": 16.152292, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.486341, "energy": 93.286959, "activity_lines": [ 62.779999, 60.383636, 57.633238, 54.949701 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 61.549999, "volume": 367705, "typical_volume": 188877.15, "trend": 52.14886, "fair_value": 48.604757, "relative_strength": 11.682681, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.28728, "energy": 78.281202, "activity_lines": [ 62.653332, 60.950909, 58.236571, 55.580394 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "close": 62.150002, "volume": 816311, "typical_volume": 204897.9, "trend": 52.650733, "fair_value": 48.769464, "relative_strength": 11.376928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.942426, "energy": 63.179828, "activity_lines": [ 62.543333, 61.505454, 58.824619, 56.225629 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "close": 62.400002, "volume": 387669, "typical_volume": 203265.0, "trend": 53.114274, "fair_value": 48.9447, "relative_strength": 11.461981, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.400858, "energy": 57.954023, "activity_lines": [ 62.466667, 61.968182, 59.376143, 56.854614 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }