{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "33f23aa4-54a2-40ef-9804-400aa480cd01",
    "symbol": "CHEMPLASTS",
    "name": "Chemplast Sanmar Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -73.937,
    "architecture_energy": 61.577,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.602,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.74,
        "rotation_up": 19.79,
        "upward_expansion": 10.64,
        "deceleration": 45.18,
        "rotation_down": 62.33,
        "downward_expansion": 83.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        192.952663,
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        208.763952,
        220.287849
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 183.610001,
    "trend_reference": 235.256998,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.219534,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 411.171859,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.553447,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -35.010488,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.283193,
    "excess_performance": -0.239484,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.219534,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106723,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.553447,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113523,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.350105,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083364,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.283193,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.83182,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2760724,
      "relative_activity": 1.847582,
      "balance": 0.83182,
      "dry_up": 1.995849,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.099881,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.588135,
      "from_high_reference": -0.601541,
      "from_low_reference": 0.005531
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 235.256998,
      "fair_value_reference": 411.171859,
      "structural_low": 182.600006,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.003967,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00869,
        "regime_survival": 0.842105,
        "best_return": 0.232859,
        "worst_return": -0.305603,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.057659,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033299,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.338705,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.118641,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.146651,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.360048,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.032023,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.293661,
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "relative_strength": -28.194519,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 194.179993,
        "volume": 1278123,
        "typical_volume": 1432450.85,
        "trend": 237.206665,
        "fair_value": 412.841346,
        "relative_strength": -31.811271,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.224601,
        "energy": 50.660997,
        "activity_lines": [
          198.458662,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 183.610001,
        "volume": 2760724,
        "typical_volume": 1494236.35,
        "trend": 235.256998,
        "fair_value": 411.171859,
        "relative_strength": -35.010488,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}