{ "ticker": { "uuid": "33fc2fad-89e3-4e5a-90df-29a67a791ad7", "symbol": "000567", "name": "Hainan Haide Capital Management Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.718, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.969, "architecture_energy": 16.851, "architecture_maturity": 23.371, "architecture_confidence": 57.298, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.87, "rotation_up": 42.14, "upward_expansion": 59.14, "deceleration": 71.02, "rotation_down": 24.6, "downward_expansion": 20.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.927333, 5.878545, 5.914714, 5.851226 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.19, "trend_reference": 5.825333, "distance_from_trend": 0.0626, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.422998, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.036276, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.897217, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.063574, "excess_performance": 0.056174, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0626, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068443, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.036276, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068814, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048972, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070882, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.063574, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.528281, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91831448, "relative_activity": 0.88114, "balance": 0.528281, "dry_up": 1.41498, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083634, "annualized_volatility": 0.450463, "from_high_reference": -0.262217, "from_low_reference": 0.230616 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.825333, "fair_value_reference": 6.422998, "structural_low": 5.03, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.002895, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012365, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.244117, "worst_return": -0.115865, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.055168, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028253, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.425942, "worst_return": -0.263158, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.267585, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.16977, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.314775, "worst_return": -0.099415, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -14.542088, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.578759, "energy": 22.983866, "activity_lines": [ 5.676, 5.753818, 5.837571, 5.807892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.17, "volume": 143055950, "typical_volume": 102605156.4, "trend": 5.833, "fair_value": 6.436774, "relative_strength": -0.775487, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.782784, "energy": 5.010824, "activity_lines": [ 5.813333, 5.814909, 5.87681, 5.828194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.19, "volume": 91831448, "typical_volume": 104218944.4, "trend": 5.825333, "fair_value": 6.422998, "relative_strength": -4.897217, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.968829, "energy": 16.851124, "activity_lines": [ 5.927333, 5.878545, 5.914714, 5.851226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }