{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3405ceda-4bbd-4960-8a89-aa02e5c42416", "symbol": "SLNG", "name": "Stabilis Solutions Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 10.275, "architecture_energy": 13.256, "architecture_maturity": 22.216, "architecture_confidence": 49.075, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.8, "rotation_up": 43.9, "upward_expansion": 39.62, "deceleration": 30.43, "rotation_down": 28.44, "downward_expansion": 21.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.512, 4.403455, 4.307, 4.327325 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 4.69, "trend_reference": 4.45521, "distance_from_trend": 0.0527, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.642037, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.010332, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.71953, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.15343, "excess_performance": -0.340883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0527, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018136, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.010332, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147548, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087195, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199113, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.15343, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.000703, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90285, "relative_activity": 0.464408, "balance": 2.000703, "dry_up": 1.05863, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.187596, "annualized_volatility": 1.040464, "from_high_reference": -0.262579, "from_low_reference": 0.461059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.45521, "fair_value_reference": 4.642037, "structural_low": 3.21, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.040375, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.000123, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.220455, "worst_return": -0.224609, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.039506, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.054327, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.207693, "worst_return": -0.175525, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.088745, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.273769, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.759091, "worst_return": -0.212699, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078498, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130755, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.081425, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.064646, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.189508, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018953, 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"typical_volume": 223112.75, "trend": 4.465877, "fair_value": 4.636332, "relative_strength": -24.670514, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.817877, "energy": 20.202872, "activity_lines": [ 4.181333, 4.283091, 4.205357, 4.327186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.79, "volume": 46280, "typical_volume": 222666.9, "trend": 4.436877, "fair_value": 4.632358, "relative_strength": -24.175958, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.65958, "energy": 29.035749, "activity_lines": [ 3.99, 4.198727, 4.164667, 4.283581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.6, "volume": 614878, "typical_volume": 239089.0, "trend": 4.44521, "fair_value": 4.635435, "relative_strength": -6.065342, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.882283, "energy": 14.805266, "activity_lines": [ 4.157333, 4.265636, 4.209952, 4.294105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.72, "volume": 71785, "typical_volume": 233999.15, "trend": 4.449877, "fair_value": 4.639153, "relative_strength": -3.826004, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.809581, "energy": 4.801322, "activity_lines": [ 4.366667, 4.342545, 4.262667, 4.311834 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.69, "volume": 90285, "typical_volume": 194408.85, "trend": 4.45521, "fair_value": 4.642037, "relative_strength": -8.71953, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.274808, "energy": 13.25615, "activity_lines": [ 4.512, 4.403455, 4.307, 4.327325 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }