{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3405f38b-bcd1-43ff-863d-5885f7f54797", "symbol": "AAPL", "name": "Apple Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.62, "architecture_energy": 52.942, "architecture_maturity": 16.778, "architecture_confidence": 80.698, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.0, "rotation_up": 61.05, "upward_expansion": 81.79, "deceleration": 53.81, "rotation_down": 17.76, "downward_expansion": 8.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 318.943333, 313.957273, 305.746866, 295.19464 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 313.33, "trend_reference": 282.348479, "distance_from_trend": 0.109728, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 226.359139, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.384216, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.210612, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.128707, "excess_performance": -0.058747, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109728, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046041, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.384216, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026533, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012106, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018686, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.128707, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.144253, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 273068775, "relative_activity": 1.080551, "balance": 1.144253, "dry_up": 1.114659, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062716, "annualized_volatility": 0.278821, "from_high_reference": -0.090663, "from_low_reference": 0.40414 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 282.348479, "fair_value_reference": 226.359139, "structural_low": 245.283724, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.027917, "positive_rate": 0.678571, "directional_follow_through": 0.678571, "median_excess_return": 0.003614, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.196413, "worst_return": -0.089687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.034508, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004978, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.177925, "worst_return": -0.146526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.041113, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.038557, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.216245, "worst_return": -0.211436, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-08-07", "close": 313.33, "volume": 273068775, "typical_volume": 252712479.95, "trend": 282.348479, "fair_value": 226.359139, "relative_strength": 1.210612, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.620404, "energy": 52.942144, "activity_lines": [ 318.943333, 313.957273, 305.746866, 295.19464 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }