{ "ticker": { "uuid": "34092ed2-4712-4fa9-8760-c02a143bdbdb", "symbol": "605338", "name": "Zhongyin Babi Food Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.716, "architecture_energy": 39.689, "architecture_maturity": 96.62, "architecture_confidence": 83.729, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.53, "rotation_up": 27.19, "upward_expansion": 18.16, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 37.81, "downward_expansion": 65.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.842, 18.692363, 19.671215, 20.979343 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 18.889999, "trend_reference": 23.108071, "distance_from_trend": -0.182537, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.792409, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005193, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.998478, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.363893, "excess_performance": -0.320689, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.182537, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10139, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.005193, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141555, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059565, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363893, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.328157, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8572290, "relative_activity": 0.910458, "balance": 1.328157, "dry_up": 1.156553, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086201, "annualized_volatility": 0.333667, "from_high_reference": -0.416124, "from_low_reference": 0.146934 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.108071, "fair_value_reference": 18.792409, "structural_low": 16.469999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.009613, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.001554, "regime_survival": 0.931034, "best_return": 0.218727, "worst_return": -0.206945, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.074361, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.042662, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.676378, "worst_return": -0.240194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.088406, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.09274, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.403428, "worst_return": -0.315381, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 18.889839, "relative_strength": -20.634801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.63169, "energy": 80.323915, "activity_lines": [ 18.336667, 19.17793, 20.730187, 22.29069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.969999, "volume": 12938050, "typical_volume": 9638637.5, "trend": 24.048415, "fair_value": 18.867853, "relative_strength": -15.019807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.585117, "energy": 65.028733, "activity_lines": [ 18.47, 19.005506, 20.430466, 21.948349 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.9, "volume": 10258575, "typical_volume": 9584301.8, "trend": 23.722253, "fair_value": 18.842192, "relative_strength": -20.775729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.503441, "energy": 64.283614, "activity_lines": [ 18.332, 18.690727, 20.066815, 21.551677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.43, "volume": 11788517, "typical_volume": 9592611.95, "trend": 23.468912, "fair_value": 18.821676, "relative_strength": -14.433179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.957308, "energy": 44.965139, "activity_lines": [ 18.761333, 18.728364, 19.883501, 21.274757 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.889999, "volume": 8572290, "typical_volume": 9415359.6, "trend": 23.108071, "fair_value": 18.792409, "relative_strength": -18.998478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.715519, "energy": 39.688758, "activity_lines": [ 18.842, 18.692363, 19.671215, 20.979343 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }