{ "ticker": { "uuid": "342b1df9-2e51-4e1e-8262-800e17448efa", "symbol": "WSI", "name": "W.S. Industries (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.336, "architecture_energy": 77.012, "architecture_maturity": 53.399, "architecture_confidence": 84.811, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.63, "rotation_up": 10.67, "upward_expansion": 16.78, "deceleration": 37.49, "rotation_down": 79.18, "downward_expansion": 94.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.405333, 63.418909, 65.969333, 67.412645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 59.919998, "trend_reference": 69.877, "distance_from_trend": -0.142493, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 104.060769, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.424183, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.697094, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.235617, "excess_performance": -0.191908, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.142493, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082782, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.424183, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096981, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.186971, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135951, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.235617, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.131938, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 162335, "relative_activity": 0.716028, "balance": 0.131938, "dry_up": 1.396011, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070825, "annualized_volatility": 0.332682, "from_high_reference": -0.394136, "from_low_reference": 0.011308 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.877, "fair_value_reference": 104.060769, "structural_low": 59.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.062433, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.073461, "regime_survival": 0.928571, "best_return": 0.286242, "worst_return": -0.226971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.093208, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.090137, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.361531, "worst_return": -0.381752, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.108657, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.142252, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.257641, "worst_return": -0.474955, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.254822, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.217414, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.123113, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.015044, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.089573, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": 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66.428728, 68.099809, 69.494753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.310001, "volume": 298513, "typical_volume": 276768.3, "trend": 71.826, "fair_value": 104.925064, "relative_strength": -13.397664, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.084906, "energy": 66.521672, "activity_lines": [ 63.955333, 65.539819, 67.479286, 68.817656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.900002, "volume": 551720, "typical_volume": 265824.1, "trend": 70.771667, "fair_value": 104.455192, "relative_strength": -17.102058, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.752845, "energy": 72.10202, "activity_lines": [ 62.626667, 64.516728, 66.764334, 68.112753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.919998, "volume": 162335, "typical_volume": 226716.05, "trend": 69.877, "fair_value": 104.060769, "relative_strength": -18.697094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.335628, "energy": 77.012468, "activity_lines": [ 61.405333, 63.418909, 65.969333, 67.412645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }