{ "ticker": { "uuid": "342f3bd9-afb5-43c0-81f1-4f3a51f31d93", "symbol": "SWSOLAR", "name": "Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 88.318, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.452, "architecture_energy": 25.067, "architecture_maturity": 58.541, "architecture_confidence": 74.432, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.51, "rotation_up": 19.22, "upward_expansion": 54.88, "deceleration": 91.12, "rotation_down": 43.37, "downward_expansion": 23.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 209.680665, 219.468544, 214.947665, 208.010859 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 204.929993, "trend_reference": 201.056998, "distance_from_trend": 0.019263, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 381.096922, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.462263, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.489023, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080399, "excess_performance": 0.124108, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019263, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002983, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.462263, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019712, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.04489, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007842, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080399, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.379998, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3551534, "relative_activity": 0.275171, "balance": 0.379998, "dry_up": 0.694787, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085977, "annualized_volatility": 0.437262, "from_high_reference": -0.284712, "from_low_reference": 0.384662 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 201.056998, "fair_value_reference": 381.096922, "structural_low": 148.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.007714, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.022241, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.371493, "worst_return": -0.230737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.021331, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032138, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.486073, "worst_return": -0.215266, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.084266, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.023951, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.616165, "worst_return": -0.174833, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.769822, "energy": 71.57476, "activity_lines": [ 235.111999, 226.91018, 214.413237, 207.165826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 207.929993, "volume": 8374392, "typical_volume": 13380933.15, "trend": 201.310332, "fair_value": 383.371024, "relative_strength": -1.019164, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.534013, "energy": 38.310544, "activity_lines": [ 225.235998, 224.986725, 214.95076, 207.576278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 203.960007, "volume": 3919348, "typical_volume": 13118535.7, "trend": 200.843665, "fair_value": 382.155704, "relative_strength": -4.823135, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.201206, "energy": 21.458346, "activity_lines": [ 215.872668, 222.193272, 214.985665, 207.747224 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 204.929993, "volume": 3551534, "typical_volume": 12906628.2, "trend": 201.056998, "fair_value": 381.096922, "relative_strength": -4.489023, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.451836, "energy": 25.067248, "activity_lines": [ 209.680665, 219.468544, 214.947665, 208.010859 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }