{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "34531335-b0e1-4411-b07b-56bbbb667fea",
    "symbol": "MDYV",
    "name": "STATE STREET SPDR S&P 400 MID CAP VALUE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.579,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.565,
    "architecture_energy": 63.359,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.189,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.94,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.12,
        "rotation_up": 69.27,
        "upward_expansion": 88.65,
        "deceleration": 47.79,
        "rotation_down": 19.6,
        "downward_expansion": 10.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        95.554,
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        93.300921,
        91.865925
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 96.66,
    "trend_reference": 90.488099,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.068207,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 77.649535,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244824,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.338053,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.049364,
    "excess_performance": -0.07626,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068207,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038286,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244824,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038505,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013381,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020962,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049364,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.553211,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 414714,
      "relative_activity": 1.023957,
      "balance": 0.553211,
      "dry_up": 1.200808,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024347,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.135336,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009428,
      "from_low_reference": 0.238883
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 90.488099,
      "fair_value_reference": 77.649535,
      "structural_low": 81.99382,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.007943,
        "positive_rate": 0.551724,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.551724,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005981,
        "regime_survival": 0.724138,
        "best_return": 0.098579,
        "worst_return": -0.094792,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.013927,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
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        "worst_return": -0.07292,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032643,
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        "worst_return": -0.087452,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.100441,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.753151,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 88.962343,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 389441.4,
        "trend": 89.244018,
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        "relative_strength": -1.642848,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 381824.8,
        "trend": 89.570627,
        "fair_value": 77.101067,
        "relative_strength": 1.118926,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.42546,
        "energy": 73.75174,
        "activity_lines": [
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          91.811642,
          90.758761
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 95.17,
        "volume": 437499,
        "typical_volume": 384396.05,
        "trend": 89.886229,
        "fair_value": 77.275746,
        "relative_strength": 1.672485,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.413609,
        "energy": 66.554747,
        "activity_lines": [
          94.795333,
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          92.313097,
          91.12001
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 95.0,
        "volume": 843363,
        "typical_volume": 402095.7,
        "trend": 90.212093,
        "fair_value": 77.455187,
        "relative_strength": 0.380496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.598805,
        "energy": 55.003294,
        "activity_lines": [
          94.917333,
          94.38995,
          92.754603,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 96.66,
        "volume": 414714,
        "typical_volume": 405011.1,
        "trend": 90.488099,
        "fair_value": 77.649535,
        "relative_strength": -1.338053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.564952,
        "energy": 63.359493,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}