{ "ticker": { "uuid": "345804a2-edb1-40dd-82a0-c4b4d3c84d4c", "symbol": "YETI", "name": "YETI Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.611, "architecture_energy": 42.514, "architecture_maturity": 34.253, "architecture_confidence": 76.786, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.58, "rotation_up": 48.55, "upward_expansion": 76.43, "deceleration": 64.43, "rotation_down": 23.64, "downward_expansion": 5.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.594, 50.267636, 48.094333, 46.185527 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 52.2, "trend_reference": 44.983, "distance_from_trend": 0.160438, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.026474, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.304137, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.913386, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107105, "excess_performance": -0.01852, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.160438, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057669, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.304137, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.245197, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.109134, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133987, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107105, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.557434, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5690662, "relative_activity": 0.864422, "balance": 1.557434, "dry_up": 0.872486, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084888, "annualized_volatility": 0.355772, "from_high_reference": -0.033154, "from_low_reference": 0.653992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.983, "fair_value_reference": 40.026474, "structural_low": 34.902, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.05456, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.032572, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.157963, "worst_return": -0.240208, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.123968, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.146927, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.243091, "worst_return": -0.280177, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.080178, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.133275, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.10103, "worst_return": -0.189634, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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11.532117, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.840863, "energy": 63.189235, "activity_lines": [ 49.894, 48.342909, 44.877381, 44.337957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.91, "volume": 3987322, "typical_volume": 6826837.45, "trend": 44.383, "fair_value": 39.814744, "relative_strength": 7.860056, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.26785, "energy": 46.073232, "activity_lines": [ 49.686667, 48.773818, 45.445238, 44.640409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 51.05, "volume": 5361231, "typical_volume": 6779371.65, "trend": 44.599, "fair_value": 39.877308, "relative_strength": 13.897032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.556997, "energy": 47.625076, "activity_lines": [ 50.09, 49.438182, 46.211048, 45.070538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.38, "volume": 6512104, "typical_volume": 6818499.0, "trend": 44.751, "fair_value": 39.930641, "relative_strength": 12.83116, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.123699, "energy": 41.81767, "activity_lines": [ 50.228, 49.807636, 46.878095, 45.443505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.94, "volume": 5410992, "typical_volume": 6641961.15, "trend": 44.887667, "fair_value": 39.979679, "relative_strength": 8.173848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.650321, "energy": 36.124617, "activity_lines": [ 49.792, 49.775091, 47.360667, 45.713763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.2, "volume": 5690662, "typical_volume": 6583200.35, "trend": 44.983, "fair_value": 40.026474, "relative_strength": 10.913386, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.610539, "energy": 42.514449, "activity_lines": [ 50.594, 50.267636, 48.094333, 46.185527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }