{ "ticker": { "uuid": "345ac907-0b10-4616-9782-0d99a58bdf11", "symbol": "SAM", "name": "Starcore International Mines Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.754, "architecture_energy": 51.872, "architecture_maturity": 65.651, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.69, "rotation_up": 26.96, "upward_expansion": 8.44, "deceleration": 57.72, "rotation_down": 51.48, "downward_expansion": 81.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.464667, 0.470545, 0.538333, 0.616987 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.56, "trend_reference": 0.747822, "distance_from_trend": -0.251158, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.324949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.723346, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.195099, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.445545, "excess_performance": -0.565966, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.251158, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10336, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.723346, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.934956, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251951, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.41455, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.445545, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.230309, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 809700, "relative_activity": 0.897647, "balance": 0.230309, "dry_up": 0.579419, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.175824, "annualized_volatility": 1.042175, "from_high_reference": -0.625431, "from_low_reference": 1.262398 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.747822, "fair_value_reference": 0.324949, "structural_low": 0.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": 0.026906, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.214286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.107143, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": 0.075486, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.466667, "worst_return": -0.214286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.095238, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.054439, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.571429, "worst_return": -0.363636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.839622, "energy": 83.07064, "activity_lines": [ 0.456, 0.494364, 0.585, 0.677729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.43, "volume": 444500, "typical_volume": 1052290.0, "trend": 0.781825, "fair_value": 0.320318, "relative_strength": -40.619533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.19423, "energy": 78.289231, "activity_lines": [ 0.441333, 0.474909, 0.563714, 0.654124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.41, "volume": 449500, "typical_volume": 970715.0, "trend": 0.763809, "fair_value": 0.322121, "relative_strength": -43.225119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.397221, "energy": 76.927565, "activity_lines": [ 0.425333, 0.457091, 0.542905, 0.630136 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.56, "volume": 809700, "typical_volume": 902025.0, "trend": 0.747822, "fair_value": 0.324949, "relative_strength": -25.195099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.754158, "energy": 51.872323, "activity_lines": [ 0.464667, 0.470545, 0.538333, 0.616987 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }