{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3465166c-fe37-48e8-b15e-aff7975080ee", "symbol": "605186", "name": "Shanghai General Healthy Information and Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.789, "architecture_energy": 27.782, "architecture_maturity": 65.325, "architecture_confidence": 93.218, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.74, "rotation_up": 19.24, "upward_expansion": 54.59, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 45.88, "downward_expansion": 22.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.498, 28.089272, 27.400571, 25.864258 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.049999, "trend_reference": 24.141333, "distance_from_trend": 0.079062, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.190508, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.005365, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.500575, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.183015, "excess_performance": 0.226219, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079062, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144501, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.005365, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258275, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.155006, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261021, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.183015, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.124367, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18146057, "relative_activity": 0.833702, "balance": 1.124367, "dry_up": 0.936658, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.166485, "annualized_volatility": 0.644671, "from_high_reference": -0.286301, "from_low_reference": 0.435262 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.141333, "fair_value_reference": 26.190508, "structural_low": 18.15, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.052228, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.059057, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.073422, "worst_return": -0.230911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.165632, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.090804, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.065645, "worst_return": -0.171445, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.061811, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.084148, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.353498, "worst_return": -0.291066, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 32.942666, 30.466363, 26.486904, 24.844559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.779999, "volume": 23196300, "typical_volume": 19844525.5, "trend": 23.407, "fair_value": 26.744346, "relative_strength": 43.794687, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.857346, "energy": 65.475713, "activity_lines": [ 33.036666, 31.341818, 27.310047, 25.475161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.799999, "volume": 17992035, "typical_volume": 20247006.95, "trend": 23.717, "fair_value": 26.61421, "relative_strength": 33.522884, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.050378, "energy": 52.599072, "activity_lines": [ 31.544666, 31.260363, 27.703809, 25.823096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.280001, "volume": 24987215, "typical_volume": 20814614.4, "trend": 23.797, "fair_value": 26.43306, "relative_strength": 2.1436, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.177747, "energy": 16.306524, "activity_lines": [ 28.244, 29.839818, 27.442857, 25.730387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.75, "volume": 20422558, "typical_volume": 21336157.3, "trend": 23.928, "fair_value": 26.299802, "relative_strength": 8.390807, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.703018, "energy": 23.041019, "activity_lines": [ 26.206, 28.747454, 27.31819, 25.727355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.049999, "volume": 18146057, "typical_volume": 21765650.15, "trend": 24.141333, "fair_value": 26.190508, "relative_strength": 15.500575, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.788503, "energy": 27.781701, "activity_lines": [ 25.498, 28.089272, 27.400571, 25.864258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }