{ "ticker": { "uuid": "347569a8-26ba-45b9-8288-c07529d4e785", "symbol": "002375", "name": "Zhejiang Yasha Decoration Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.335, "architecture_energy": 34.366, "architecture_maturity": 49.702, "architecture_confidence": 60.809, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.25, "rotation_up": 23.54, "upward_expansion": 16.09, "deceleration": 65.77, "rotation_down": 42.64, "downward_expansion": 66.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.458, 3.445593, 3.637706, 3.756344 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.49, "trend_reference": 3.907873, "distance_from_trend": -0.106931, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.936126, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.113341, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.038422, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.171021, "excess_performance": -0.178421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.106931, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03727, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.113341, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142831, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.140384, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017559, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171021, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.608566, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69442187, "relative_activity": 0.837631, "balance": 0.608566, "dry_up": 0.794414, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08688, "annualized_volatility": 0.272864, "from_high_reference": -0.286679, "from_low_reference": 0.067278 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.907873, "fair_value_reference": 3.936126, "structural_low": 3.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.001393, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.260317, "worst_return": -0.186737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.004167, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.055873, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.180428, "worst_return": -0.250394, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.008354, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.080837, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.140673, "worst_return": -0.248802, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3.684314, 3.840377, 3.920088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.37, "volume": 60757540, "typical_volume": 85024667.5, "trend": 3.953873, "fair_value": 3.96561, "relative_strength": -23.517383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.555092, "energy": 79.426352, "activity_lines": [ 3.391743, 3.597475, 3.785395, 3.881215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.43, "volume": 67489487, "typical_volume": 85078332.35, "trend": 3.944206, "fair_value": 3.958404, "relative_strength": -13.825358, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.507435, "energy": 73.005464, "activity_lines": [ 3.389042, 3.533468, 3.740366, 3.847416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.37, "volume": 73542169, "typical_volume": 83508230.95, "trend": 3.929539, "fair_value": 3.950376, "relative_strength": -15.069299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.358132, "energy": 58.301979, "activity_lines": [ 3.382948, 3.471311, 3.693908, 3.810371 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.52, "volume": 52963401, "typical_volume": 82620334.95, "trend": 3.917873, "fair_value": 3.943597, "relative_strength": -9.357294, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.286834, "energy": 44.043153, "activity_lines": [ 3.433333, 3.454305, 3.66564, 3.783949 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.49, "volume": 69442187, "typical_volume": 82903030.45, "trend": 3.907873, "fair_value": 3.936126, "relative_strength": -14.038422, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.335272, "energy": 34.365584, "activity_lines": [ 3.458, 3.445593, 3.637706, 3.756344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }