{ "ticker": { "uuid": "347b8312-5017-49b9-b541-0ebbfca3ce4d", "symbol": "METL", "name": "MetLife, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.715, "architecture_energy": 83.839, "architecture_maturity": 37.523, "architecture_confidence": 74.557, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 80.94, "upward_expansion": 95.72, "deceleration": 42.8, "rotation_down": 13.76, "downward_expansion": 17.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.979858, 80.87006, 76.65144, 73.083989 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 84.379997, "trend_reference": 69.218351, "distance_from_trend": 0.219041, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 65.421931, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.289782, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.174729, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.31713, "excess_performance": 0.142883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.219041, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06484, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.289782, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243476, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011747, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161744, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.31713, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.086022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164, "relative_activity": 11.428571, "balance": 2.086022, "dry_up": 4.477352, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035346, "annualized_volatility": 0.222855, "from_high_reference": -0.029222, "from_low_reference": 0.447947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.218351, "fair_value_reference": 65.421931, "structural_low": 58.275631, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.005669, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000715, "regime_survival": 0.678571, "best_return": 0.13965, "worst_return": -0.084771, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.020951, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006739, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.165561, "worst_return": -0.100373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.080001, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.039586, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.219072, "worst_return": -0.147858, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"fair_value": 65.025055, "relative_strength": 0.939293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.011825, "energy": 91.296979, "activity_lines": [ 80.563938, 78.457764, 74.114939, 71.07719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83.447498, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6.15, "trend": 68.642573, "fair_value": 65.220007, "relative_strength": 2.964669, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.633356, "energy": 90.511598, "activity_lines": [ 81.865398, 79.671935, 75.396145, 72.068671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.379997, "volume": 164, "typical_volume": 14.35, "trend": 69.218351, "fair_value": 65.421931, "relative_strength": 1.174729, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.714711, "energy": 83.839345, "activity_lines": [ 82.979858, 80.87006, 76.65144, 73.083989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }