{ "ticker": { "uuid": "349763b9-9fab-4c21-863a-a7f99dca2f41", "symbol": "CONCOR", "name": "Container Corporation of India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 65.418, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.978, "architecture_energy": 31.569, "architecture_maturity": 7.301, "architecture_confidence": 66.395, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.7, "rotation_up": 60.84, "upward_expansion": 49.76, "deceleration": 33.06, "rotation_down": 20.19, "downward_expansion": 12.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 498.590624, 487.594822, 486.006557, 484.356049 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 505.200012, "trend_reference": 485.183, "distance_from_trend": 0.041257, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 679.95357, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257008, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.595058, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.001778, "excess_performance": 0.041931, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041257, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021854, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.257008, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02828, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.015951, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031119, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001778, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.990618, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6821035, "relative_activity": 0.894289, "balance": 0.990618, "dry_up": 1.884458, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056477, "annualized_volatility": 0.308505, "from_high_reference": -0.10291, "from_low_reference": 0.198719 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 485.183, "fair_value_reference": 679.95357, "structural_low": 421.450012, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.034772, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.015446, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.079304, "worst_return": -0.140807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.134009, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.140412, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.155745, "worst_return": -0.23235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.02894, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.118484, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.274333, "worst_return": -0.415583, 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"active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.26713, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.009505, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130247, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.010677, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", 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485.330542, "fair_value": 680.885218, "relative_strength": 5.755054, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.951388, "energy": 21.408885, "activity_lines": [ 492.418031, 481.91775, 483.713275, 483.074147 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 505.200012, "volume": 6821035, "typical_volume": 7627323.3, "trend": 485.183, "fair_value": 679.95357, "relative_strength": 1.595058, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.977518, "energy": 31.568805, "activity_lines": [ 498.590624, 487.594822, 486.006557, 484.356049 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }