{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "349cbe63-5b60-41ca-8452-c9320afd8a41",
    "symbol": "ORES",
    "name": "Investment AB \u00d6resund (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.554,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -10.004,
    "architecture_energy": 19.02,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.157,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.307,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.52,
        "rotation_up": 22.05,
        "upward_expansion": 22.4,
        "deceleration": 66.16,
        "rotation_down": 51.35,
        "downward_expansion": 38.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        138.493333,
        138.774546,
        142.467331,
        141.956163
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 144.399994,
    "trend_reference": 138.646015,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.041501,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 110.002557,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.312697,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.194842,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.168164,
    "excess_performance": 0.10667,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041501,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075967,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.312697,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055659,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011948,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076686,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168164,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.388297,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 290267,
      "relative_activity": 1.467089,
      "balance": 1.388297,
      "dry_up": 0.97503,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042084,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.247904,
      "from_high_reference": -0.088384,
      "from_low_reference": 0.336852
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 138.646015,
      "fair_value_reference": 110.002557,
      "structural_low": 123.612776,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.017271,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02604,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.075889,
        "worst_return": -0.057301,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.005449,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035416,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.071606,
        "worst_return": -0.081331,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.00494,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.046123,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.335057,
        "worst_return": -0.068969,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.048209,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.044706,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.184416,
        "worst_return": -0.107503,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012195,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.055749,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.033389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013559,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.071429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.098945,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060774,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109254,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.055874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.087349,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 81.896881,
        "volume": 66891,
        "typical_volume": 81646.85,
        "trend": 94.27984,
        "fair_value": 98.555072,
        "relative_strength": -11.701732,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -75.882106,
        "energy": 61.401802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "typical_volume": 84977.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 108.679688,
        "relative_strength": -2.79557,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 34.035051,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 131.800003,
        "volume": 180942,
        "typical_volume": 219169.5,
        "trend": 136.223416,
        "fair_value": 108.968573,
        "relative_strength": -3.263862,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.802637,
        "energy": 59.438951,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.506669,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 132.800003,
        "volume": 120576,
        "typical_volume": 206304.65,
        "trend": 136.893606,
        "fair_value": 109.269214,
        "relative_strength": -3.84589,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.150003,
        "energy": 66.778262,
        "activity_lines": [
          134.106669,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 139.800003,
        "volume": 179863,
        "typical_volume": 201475.65,
        "trend": 137.719141,
        "fair_value": 109.617934,
        "relative_strength": -0.074771,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.060794,
        "energy": 55.005527,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.573336,
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          141.52514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 144.399994,
        "volume": 290267,
        "typical_volume": 197852.4,
        "trend": 138.646015,
        "fair_value": 110.002557,
        "relative_strength": 1.194842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -10.00353,
        "energy": 19.0198,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}