{ "ticker": { "uuid": "34ad00de-723e-4db2-b955-cbb98159b58d", "symbol": "6868", "name": "Iscom Online International Information Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.159, "architecture_energy": 34.905, "architecture_maturity": 9.16, "architecture_confidence": 59.408, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.19, "rotation_up": 25.82, "upward_expansion": 15.33, "deceleration": 48.35, "rotation_down": 54.32, "downward_expansion": 52.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.076667, 26.437273, 28.04381, 28.322796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.450001, "trend_reference": 28.043334, "distance_from_trend": 0.014501, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.563978, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.361592, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.927526, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117878, "excess_performance": -0.323494, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014501, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002608, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.361592, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027282, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.299275, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149495, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117878, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.378811, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69001, "relative_activity": 0.520693, "balance": 1.378811, "dry_up": 0.34386, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095985, "annualized_volatility": 0.717497, "from_high_reference": -0.311138, "from_low_reference": 0.231602 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.043334, "fair_value_reference": 44.563978, "structural_low": 23.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.013289, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.057697, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.013289, "worst_return": 0.013289, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.284053, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.449054, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.284053, "worst_return": -0.284053, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.483312, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.881348, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.483312, "worst_return": -0.483312, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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-33.981883, "energy": 52.235077, "activity_lines": [ 26.37, 27.584546, 29.022857, 28.724086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.1, "volume": 35670, "typical_volume": 135271.25, "trend": 27.978333, "fair_value": 44.761621, "relative_strength": -39.891708, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.324183, "energy": 57.96455, "activity_lines": [ 25.446667, 26.760909, 28.520476, 28.46871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.200001, "volume": 62000, "typical_volume": 132616.15, "trend": 27.933333, "fair_value": 44.654302, "relative_strength": -37.18759, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.499297, "energy": 60.764183, "activity_lines": [ 25.120001, 26.214546, 28.126667, 28.289463 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 28.450001, "volume": 69001, "typical_volume": 132517.7, "trend": 28.043334, "fair_value": 44.563978, "relative_strength": -29.927526, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.158964, "energy": 34.904925, "activity_lines": [ 26.076667, 26.437273, 28.04381, 28.322796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }