{ "ticker": { "uuid": "34d70f52-feca-4d71-a47c-87ea970e69d3", "symbol": "002958", "name": "Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 83.738, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 18.97, "architecture_energy": 34.946, "architecture_maturity": 32.246, "architecture_confidence": 69.326, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.16, "rotation_up": 64.68, "upward_expansion": 41.86, "deceleration": 44.48, "rotation_down": 16.7, "downward_expansion": 19.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.024, 2.922144, 2.903236, 2.938755 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.0, "trend_reference": 2.990806, "distance_from_trend": 0.003074, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.88177, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.041027, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.870195, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044586, "excess_performance": -0.051986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003074, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033978, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.041027, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018031, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.068702, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184277, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044586, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.769658, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 378591818, "relative_activity": 1.612479, "balance": 0.769658, "dry_up": 1.801733, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045171, "annualized_volatility": 0.202877, "from_high_reference": -0.162011, "from_low_reference": 0.134216 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.990806, "fair_value_reference": 2.88177, "structural_low": 2.645, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 2.817194, 2.803462, 2.87001, 2.928825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.97, "volume": 440527445, "typical_volume": 225106543.7, "trend": 2.992806, "fair_value": 2.87505, "relative_strength": -5.767133, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.234989, "energy": 22.598842, "activity_lines": [ 2.883917, 2.831204, 2.873371, 2.926945 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.17, "volume": 444926888, "typical_volume": 231783360.2, "trend": 2.994139, "fair_value": 2.878985, "relative_strength": 2.765296, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.533348, "energy": 38.950774, "activity_lines": [ 2.999472, 2.894765, 2.896399, 2.938377 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.0, "volume": 378591818, "typical_volume": 234788706.9, "trend": 2.990806, "fair_value": 2.88177, "relative_strength": -6.870195, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.970365, "energy": 34.946227, "activity_lines": [ 3.024, 2.922144, 2.903236, 2.938755 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }