{ "ticker": { "uuid": "34d80b68-3e61-4810-aa29-a4847a31c8e9", "symbol": "EZE", "name": "Grupo Ezentis, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.661, "architecture_energy": 74.348, "architecture_maturity": 99.716, "architecture_confidence": 90.472, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.3, "rotation_up": 23.58, "upward_expansion": 18.08, "deceleration": 38.05, "rotation_down": 57.69, "downward_expansion": 91.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.067327, 0.06798, 0.070489, 0.072955 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.069, "trend_reference": 0.076382, "distance_from_trend": -0.096645, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.113926, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.394344, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.605636, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.171669, "excess_performance": -0.296099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.096645, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081491, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.394344, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034892, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.326056, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010024, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171669, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.592536, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9479365, "relative_activity": 0.948674, "balance": 1.592536, "dry_up": 0.690425, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045708, "annualized_volatility": 0.247294, "from_high_reference": -0.428808, "from_low_reference": 0.105769 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.076382, "fair_value_reference": 0.113926, "structural_low": 0.0624, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.04902, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.685714, "median_excess_return": -0.063337, "regime_survival": 0.942857, "best_return": 1.426768, "worst_return": -0.617197, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.15162, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.1953, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 1.207407, "worst_return": -0.636199, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.279961, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.380532, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.487521, "worst_return": -0.710361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.568241, "energy": 53.289675, "activity_lines": [ 0.068873, 0.069947, 0.07266, 0.075116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0652, "volume": 9627130, "typical_volume": 9628891.0, "trend": 0.077945, "fair_value": 0.114208, "relative_strength": -36.446613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.445847, "energy": 72.806545, "activity_lines": [ 0.067607, 0.068845, 0.071719, 0.074257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0658, "volume": 3896254, "typical_volume": 9652972.1, "trend": 0.077032, "fair_value": 0.114057, "relative_strength": -35.465382, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.976932, "energy": 77.36575, "activity_lines": [ 0.066827, 0.068031, 0.070915, 0.073473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.069, "volume": 9479365, "typical_volume": 9992230.4, "trend": 0.076382, "fair_value": 0.113926, "relative_strength": -32.605636, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.661006, "energy": 74.348485, "activity_lines": [ 0.067327, 0.06798, 0.070489, 0.072955 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }