{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "34e60832-ba8d-416c-9a96-022c2e269c16",
    "symbol": "002933",
    "name": "Beijing Emerging Eastern Aviation Equipment Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.829,
    "architecture_energy": 57.213,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.169,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.252,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.89,
        "rotation_up": 18.9,
        "upward_expansion": 9.01,
        "deceleration": 50.89,
        "rotation_down": 65.6,
        "downward_expansion": 84.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.514,
        26.131082,
        27.60355,
        29.10193
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 26.83,
    "trend_reference": 31.21064,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.140357,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 30.726648,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.126817,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -20.954396,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.231012,
    "excess_performance": -0.238411,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140357,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074152,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126817,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155501,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.209544,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046187,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.231012,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.427393,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6383224,
      "relative_activity": 0.938068,
      "balance": 0.427393,
      "dry_up": 0.953876,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080945,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.336859,
      "from_high_reference": -0.320759,
      "from_low_reference": 0.154475
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.21064,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.726648,
      "structural_low": 23.24,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.00454,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004832,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.258621,
        "worst_return": -0.135648,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.397397,
        "worst_return": -0.174092,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.025126,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 8608051.1,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -81.507736,
        "energy": 77.354814,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.120001,
        "volume": 7671923,
        "typical_volume": 7722999.5,
        "trend": 31.877973,
        "fair_value": 30.747317,
        "relative_strength": -27.819714,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.979697,
        "energy": 77.747656,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.423334,
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          28.289828,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.0,
        "volume": 4758200,
        "typical_volume": 7104412.2,
        "trend": 31.522973,
        "fair_value": 30.730253,
        "relative_strength": -23.244883,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.299807,
        "energy": 77.515417,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.122,
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          27.837546,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.83,
        "volume": 6383224,
        "typical_volume": 6804646.9,
        "trend": 31.21064,
        "fair_value": 30.726648,
        "relative_strength": -20.954396,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.829149,
        "energy": 57.212691,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}