{ "ticker": { "uuid": "34e6cb62-7a9f-476a-a2d0-701d128bf2a5", "symbol": "ALAB", "name": "ASTERA LABS INC", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.25, "architecture_energy": 34.463, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.8, "rotation_up": 24.61, "upward_expansion": 60.15, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 41.11, "downward_expansion": 23.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 5402.751953, 5927.474893, 5567.211555, 4866.858674 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5680.0, "trend_reference": 4052.195654, "distance_from_trend": 0.401709, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2604.46981, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.180866, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 48.442327, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.958526, "excess_performance": 1.013193, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.401709, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.360046, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.180866, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.624773, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.484423, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.380674, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.958526, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.972667, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 876, "relative_activity": 0.383773, "balance": 3.972667, "dry_up": 0.554302, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157029, "annualized_volatility": 1.031637, "from_high_reference": -0.273657, "from_low_reference": 2.066955 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4052.195654, "fair_value_reference": 2604.46981, "structural_low": 1852.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"2026-07-31", "close": 4679.069824, "volume": 241, "typical_volume": 2254.7, "trend": 3961.028988, "fair_value": 2576.253937, "relative_strength": 23.467386, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.567848, "energy": 31.531355, "activity_lines": [ 5482.489941, 6018.973437, 5470.095982, 4755.957318 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5680.0, "volume": 876, "typical_volume": 2282.6, "trend": 4052.195654, "fair_value": 2604.46981, "relative_strength": 48.442327, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.25022, "energy": 34.463022, "activity_lines": [ 5402.751953, 5927.474893, 5567.211555, 4866.858674 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }