{ "ticker": { "uuid": "351ccaab-dd99-4876-a34a-38c56a8eca50", "symbol": "EASY-B", "name": "EasyFill AB ser. B", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.938, "architecture_energy": 27.013, "architecture_maturity": 70.507, "architecture_confidence": 88.507, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.51, "rotation_up": 20.76, "upward_expansion": 2.24, "deceleration": 49.72, "rotation_down": 43.94, "downward_expansion": 73.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.087967, 0.088564, 0.09041, 0.093949 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.0925, "trend_reference": 0.1022, "distance_from_trend": -0.094912, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.15895, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.418055, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.119003, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.288462, "excess_performance": -0.349956, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094912, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177796, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.418055, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105533, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.36119, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073516, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.288462, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.684831, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 381289, "relative_activity": 0.76762, "balance": 2.684831, "dry_up": 0.637423, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157173, "annualized_volatility": 0.638347, "from_high_reference": -0.689597, "from_low_reference": 0.796117 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1022, "fair_value_reference": 0.15895, "structural_low": 0.0515, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.045222, "positive_rate": 0.309524, "directional_follow_through": 0.690476, "median_excess_return": -0.032037, "regime_survival": 0.928571, "best_return": 0.290323, "worst_return": -0.498535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.141846, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.24434, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.261905, "worst_return": -0.471596, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.294896, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.30381, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.484127, "worst_return": -0.622321, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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-38.996585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.262137, "energy": 26.47238, "activity_lines": [ 0.089967, 0.091691, 0.092783, 0.098816 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0885, "volume": 91815, "typical_volume": 676824.3, "trend": 0.106867, "fair_value": 0.164225, "relative_strength": -38.744146, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.284518, "energy": 26.24128, "activity_lines": [ 0.0895, 0.091045, 0.092157, 0.097557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.08, "volume": 625369, "typical_volume": 556638.45, "trend": 0.105367, "fair_value": 0.162283, "relative_strength": -44.705272, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.812012, "energy": 40.983782, "activity_lines": [ 0.086167, 0.088845, 0.090824, 0.095824 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0875, "volume": 168000, "typical_volume": 504168.4, "trend": 0.103683, "fair_value": 0.160507, "relative_strength": -39.552898, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.656686, "energy": 38.319321, "activity_lines": [ 0.086, 0.088191, 0.090357, 0.094671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0925, "volume": 381289, "typical_volume": 496716.0, "trend": 0.1022, "fair_value": 0.15895, "relative_strength": -36.119003, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.937513, "energy": 27.012945, "activity_lines": [ 0.087967, 0.088564, 0.09041, 0.093949 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }